Republic Double Exit Poll for Haryana: BJP projected to eclipse 2014 win, Congress likely to trail and AAP wiped out say CVoter and Jan Ki Baat

The electoral process for the largest democracy in the world comes to a close on Sunday with the conclusion of the seventh and final phase of the 17th Lok Sabha elections. An estimated 900 million citizens would have given their mandate in thousands of polling booths across India, sealing the fates of aspirants to 542 seats (election to the Vellore Lok Sabha seat stands countermanded) in India's lower house of Parliament and going a long way to determining which coalition would form the next government. While what the 39 days of polling have led to will be revealed on counting day on May 23, before that, Republic Media Network has broadcast India's biggest exit poll - a mega double exit poll in collaboration with the country's top pollsters Jan Ki Baat and CVoter.

Both Jan Ki Baat and CVoter have conducted extensive on-ground surveys across the nation after each of the seven phases of the 2019 polls. They will present a prospective picture of how each of the coalitions, the NDA and the UPA and the nascent third front, as well as all the other parties in the country will do in every state and union territory and based on those numbers project whether or not the NDA will come back with a bigger mandate than what it had received in 2014 - something that the BJP believes that it would - or whether the UPA will have fought back to win majority seats, which would be a huge leap from the mere 44 the Congress had won five years ago. 

Haryana:

In Haryana, the BJP had swept the polls in 2014 decimating the Congress to just one seat and winning seven seats. It appears that anti-incumbency will play no spoilsport for the BJP as both CVoter and Jan Ki Baat surveys predict that BJP will win more seats in the state than what it had in 2014.

Projection for Haryana:

CVoter exit poll:

Seat share:

UPA-1
NDA-9
INLD-0
Others-0

CVoter Vote share: 

UPA-26.8%
NDA-45.4%
INLD-8.7%
Others-19.1%

Jan Ki Baat survey -

BJP: 8-9 (8)

INC: 0-2 (2)

Others:0-1 (2)

Historical data:

 

Republic-Jan Ki Baat Exit Poll Projection: NDA Will Form The Government, Likely To Cross 300+ Mark Comfortably; Congress To Fall Short Of 100

The battle for Haryana:

The AAP which is trying to make its presence felt beyond Delhi had been seeking an alliance with Congress. AAP and Congress held talks until the last date of filing nomination for the polls but alliance did not happen. Both Arvind Kejriwal and Rahul Gandhi blamed each other for the debacle.

The election story so far:

The elections were fought bitterly between the two major national parties.  Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who is seeking a second term in the Parliament, addressed a total of 144 rallies and roadshows highlighting his many welfare schemes. His Varanasi roadshow had a huge turnout leading many to ask if there is indeed a Modi wave in 2019. Rahul Gandhi addressed a total of 125 rallies making Congress' allegations of corruption in the Rafale deal against the Centre and its manifesto promise of NYAY scheme the key points in the events.

Several leaders across party lines were notified by the Election Commission for violating Model Code of Conduct. Azam Khan, Yogi Adityanath, Maneka Gandhi, Sadhvi Pragya, Mayawati being a few of them. 

Republic Media Network set the agenda on several occasions in the poll season. From broadcasting Prime Minister's first and final interview for the Lok Sabha campaigning to conducting #MPsOnSale sting on sitting MPs who showed they were willing to compromise on the interest of those they are supposed to represent as well as Operation Karz Maafi sting that exposed the falsehood in the Congress' farm loan-waiver promise.

The vote counting for the 2019 Lok Sabha polls will be held on May 23. Join Arnab on Republic Media Network for non-stop coverage of the sensational conclusion to the general elections.