BJP president Amit Shah on Wednesday spoke Republic Bharat's Editor-In-Chief Arnab Goswami during an exclusive interview about the calculations in the key state of Uttar Pradesh. The state which has the largest number of seats is crucial for the party and it faces the SP-BSP-RLD coalition and Congress.
Amit Shah explains why he believes in the party's chances of repeating its 2014 success in the state and why he thinks the caste-based politics of SP and BSP coalition will not work.
He also said that 15% supporters of SP and BSP will not vote for each other and that the number of parties in the 'Others' category will also factor in helping BJP win in the state.
"We have received forty percent, forty two percent and forty four percent votes in different seats, we have to look at 6-10% of margin. We have to cover 6-10% in our fight to achieve 50%. Whenever two parties get in a coalition, and this gets in contradiction, the supporters of the coalition, the parties' supporters get iton contradiction, this always results more that six percent. Secondly, 50% is not that necessary because many fight independently in Uttar Pradesh. And because many fight independently in UP, the Others category takes up many votes. Congress is also fighting, Shivpal Yadav ji is fighting and many other parties are also fighting, so our difference becomes less. If they all collectively take a certain amount of votes, then we retain our old position with seventy seats.
"I am telling you now that the vote of contradiction of these two parties is more than 15%. Believe me on this. They will not vote for each other.
This is from my experience. I have visited all UP's constituencies and I know every equation and I am telling you there is more than 15% contradiction vote. You see the estimates of these two and check what happens after results. As I said they don't have any important issues