Who is going to win the Indian General Elections? Yes, the results are on May 23, but on Sunday, we’ll have the strongest idea about which government will come to power, as the seventh and final phase of the elections concludes. With the end of the elections comes the exit polls, and Republic Media Network is set to give the viewers the biggest indication on the results, with not one but two exit polls.
In a unique style of broadcasting the exit polls, Republic Media Network will showcase the surveys of Yashwant Deshmukh’s C-Voter and Pradeep Bhandari’s Jan Ki Baat agencies. Both arrived in the studios in grand style, the former in a car and the latter on a motorcycle, both never-seen-before visuals on Indian news history.
According to the experts present at the broadcasting which includes anchors and editors, there has been a change in the trend from the third to the seventh phase and the contest became more of a personality-driven one. Factors like the Pulwama terror attack and Congress leader Sam Pitroda’s ‘Hua To Hua’ remark also played a part in it. Not just big states like Uttar Pradesh, even critical states like West Bengal will play a crucial role, according to Goswami and his panel.
As the clock touches 6.30 pm, within 15 minutes, the overall numbers of both the surveys will be announced. This will be followed by state-by-state and even some of the constituencies’ performances would be analysed.
Even as Republic Media’s Editor-In-Chief Arnab Goswami curiously asked Deshmukh to give him some numbers, the latter strictly revealed he couldn’t because the Election Commission mandates that the figures can’t be shared before 6.30pm. Deshmukh also shared that the final numbers are still calculated as the voting is still to be concluded.
Bhandari, on the other hand, proudly stated that he toured the entire the country, 400 constituencies, gauging the pulse of the country and calling it a ‘zameeni’ (on the ground) survey. He stated that he will talk about every constituency. He claimed to have travelled 80,000 kilometres, 2,500 kilometres every day, having done the ‘Lalkaar’ show in 150 constituencies.
As far as the survey patterns are concerned, C-Voter uses both quantitative and qualitative analysis, a traditional form of a random probability sample of 5 lakh persons. They conducted their research in 4000 assembly constituencies. State of the art analytics, 150 data operators, 3000 analysts played a massive role for them.
Deshmukh, whose company has been in the business for 25 years, expressed confidence in his team, comprising of both new and experienced members, and about the fact that no Indians were in the field at the time they started, They are now expanding and surveying in the USA.
On the other hand, Bhandari is young, just 27 years and had 108 people on the field, most reporters in the age group of 20-30, along with a verified citizen reporter network. He termed his survey style as the probability map of outcomes and analysed 8 lakh persons.
Arnab Goswami termed it a contrasting style of polls, experience vs new generation, just numbers vs numbers + analysis, and 25 years of experience vs 90 per cent accuracy.