With the dates for the all-important Lok Sabha polls now announced, the various political parties and the citizens of India have complete clarity on exactly when the country will once again undertake the largest exercise in democracy anywhere in the world.
To present a snapshot projection of where the various parties stand at the moment in different states, Republic TV and CVoter have published the National Approval Ratings which present a complete picture of what would happen if elections are held today.
In Jharkhand, the BJP looks set for a big come-down from its remarkable performance in the 2014 polls when it had won 12 of the 14 states in the mineral-rich state. As per the latest National Approval Ratings, however, it is the UPA that is projected to come up trumps by winning 10 seats while the NDA is projected to be reduced to just 3 and the JVM claiming the remaining seat. The result becomes even more remarkable once you consider the fact that the NDA is projected to be neck-and-neck with the UPA in terms of vote-share, at 42.4% versus 42.7% respectively. The JVM once again is projected to bring up the rear with 9% of the vote-share.
National Approval Ratings | NDA Or UPA - Here's Who Would Win If The 2019 Lok Sabha Elections Were Held Today
The latest projection also shows that the UPA has made gains even in the last two months as in the January National Approval Ratings, it had been projected to win 8 seats versus the NDA's 5. In another twist, the UPA's vote-share projection then was also higher, at 46.5% versus the NDA's 41.9%.
The months preceding the latest National Approval Ratings have witnessed a number of massive developments that may have a big impact on the on-ground sentiment as the phase-wise voting approaches. A parallel CVoter survey has already indicated that citizens' satisfaction with the performance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been on an upswing since the Feb 1 budget where a number of significant announcements were made - especially for farmers and for middle-class taxpayers. This satisfaction index the skyrocketed following India's air-strike against Pakistani terror bases across the LoC. Simultaneously, the satisfaction index of Congress president Rahul Gandhi has spiralled downward in the same time-frame. 2019 will be doubly important for Jharkhand as state assembly polls are also set to be held very soon after the Lok Sabha polls, if not simultaneously.