After seven phases spread across 39 days, the Lok Sabha elections 2019 in India have finally come to an end with the verdict of who will form the next government out. While the nation is waiting to see its selected representative in the 17th Lok Sabha, all eyes were set on to the state of Uttar Pradesh that has the largest number of Lok Sabha seats since the dates were declared.
With Prime Minister Narendra Modi contesting from Uttar Pradesh’s Varanasi and Congress chief Rahul Gandhi contesting from Amethi, it would not be wrong to call the state at the helm of political affairs.
In 2019 Lok Sabha elections, as declared by the Election Commission, Uttar Pradesh has given the saffron party 62 seats, 11 less than the 2014 general elections, while the Congress has been confined to just one seat in Rae Bareli that the UPA chairperson Sonia Gandhi won. The Gathbandhan comprising of SP-BSP-RLD alliance that was claiming to prepare for the Prime Minister’s position has fallen on its face with SP getting 5 seats and BSP improving its tally of 0 to 10 seats from 2014. (as per EC at 11:30 AM)
Republic Double Exit Polls prediction
Jan ki Baat predicted that NDA will win 46 to 57 seats in Uttar Pradesh, while CVoter predicted that NDA will win 38 seats while Mahagtahbandhan will win 40 seats.
Jan ki Baat:
Seat share range projection:
Seat share projection
CVoter Vote-share projection:
Campaign and Controversy
Prime Minister Narendra Modi, seeking a second term in the office, addressed a total of 144 rallies and roadshows this election season, Congress president Rahul Gandhi addressed 125 rallies in the 2019 polls. The elections also marked the entry of his sister Priyanka Gandhi Vadra as an official member of the Congress and being appointed as a General Secretary of UP East. It also marked the coming together of Mulayam Singh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party and Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party after their alliance experiment in the Gorakhpur and Phulpur by-polls.
Uttar Pradesh also witnessed a long list of politicians who delivered controversial speeches. While Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath in a shocking statement said that SP-BSP-RLD gathbandhan is trying to spread a ‘green virus’ in the state and also gave an ‘Ali-Bajrangbali’ reference, Mayawati made a vote appeal to the Muslim community in her election rally at Saharanpur. Union Minister Maneka Gandhi also came under the EC scanner for her remark that if the Muslim community does not vote for her, she won’t work for them and the A-B-C-D category system. There was also an all-out war of words between SP leader Azam Khan and BJP’s Jaya Prada with Khan retorting to hurl derogatory remark on Jaya Prada.
2014 General Elections
In what was called as a massive win for any party in the state of Uttar Pradesh, BJP won 71 seats with its ally Apna Dal winning 2 seats, that brought the NDA tally to 73. The Congress faced an embarrassing defeat in the state with getting only 2 seats and the BSP, once the ruling party of the state gained no seats, while the SP was able to save their prestige by bagging 5 seats, mostly in their strongholds.
Varanasi - Narendra Modi registered a thumping victory against Congress’ Ajay Rai and SP’s Shalini Yadav. It was speculated that Congress would field Priyanka Gandhi Vadra from the seat with she herself claiming that she is ready to fight the PM. However, Congress fielded a local man Rai who has now been defeated by a margin of more than 5lakh votes.
Amethi - Known to be the Congress bastion, the seat was a neck-to-neck contest with Smriti leading all through the day. While Irani led a decisive campaign in Amethi, Gandhi was absent from the constituency on the day of polls. In the most interesting battle, Irani was able to register a thumping victory in the Gandhi family bastion by defeating Congress president by 50000 votes.
Azamgarh - Akhilesh Yadav won from his party's bastion with more than 4 lakh votes against BJP’s Dinesh Lal Yadav Nirhua
Mainpuri - SP supremo Mulayam Singh Yadav won with 451885 votes against BJP’s candidate Prem Singh Shakya
Rae Bareli - UPA chairperson Sonia Gandhi won with 529079 votes in the Gandhi family bastion.
Lucknow - Union Minister Rajnath Singh won against Poonam Sinha, wife of Congress leader Shatrughan Sinha and Acharya Pramod Krishnam with a margin of more than 3 lakh votes.
Gorakhpur - Yogi Adityanath’s bastion elected BJP candidate Ravi Kishan won after the party lost the by-polls in the state.
Rampur - Azam Khan SP candidate won against BJP’s Jaya Prada by a margin of more than 1 lakh votes.