Days after senior Congress leader Ahmed Patel taunted at Haryana Congress leader Bhupinder Singh Hooda saying "Party kaha gayi" (Where is the party), the Jan Ki Baat Opinion Polls predicts the complete annihilation of the grand-old party. The Congress party, that once ruled the state, is projected to win anywhere between 12 to 18 seats. While the Khattar-led BJP is likely to win between 58 to 70 seats. Though the results for the 90 seats of the Haryana assembly will be announced on October 24, the prediction by Opinion Poll assures big win for the BJP under Chief Minister Manohar Lal Khattar.
For Haryana, which will to polls in a single-phase on Monday, the Jan Ki Baat poll projects that the Khattar-led BJP is likely to win between 58 to 70 seats, while the Congress is projected to win anywhere between 12 to 18 seats. While the newly stitched INLD-SAD alliance is projected to get 0 to 1 seat, the JJP that has been formed by Dushyant Chautala after infighting in the Chautala family, and is backed by former Congress chief Ashok Tanwar, is projected to get 5 to 8 seats. The Opinion Poll has also projected BJP to get a massive vote share of 56.7%.
Days ahead of assembly polls in Haryana, the Congress party faced massive internal tussle, including the resignation of its former state chief Ashok Tanwar. There were also reports of a divide between those supporting Rahul Gandhi and others supporting Sonia Gandhi. In a scathing attack on the party in his resignation letter, Tanwar wrote that the party has become ''anti-thesis of democracy and plagued by feudal attitudes." He went on to add that as per his experience in the past few years the internal democracy in the party is 'killed by few lobbies'. Adding on to these, the Jan Ki Baat Opinion Polls on Thursday suggests the complete annihilation of the party in the state of Haryana, as it is projected to win only 12 to 18 seats.
A video of Congress leaders went viral a few days ago, in which the leaders were chatting about the condition of the party in Haryana, after internal tussle in the party. The video featured Congress'senior leader Ghulam Nabi Azad, Congress' interim president Sonia Gandhi's right-hand man Ahmed Patel, and Haryana Congress leader Bhupinder Singh Hooda.
In the video, Hooda is asked by Azad about the expected performance of the party in upcoming assembly elections. As Hooda begins counting some numbers, Patel interrupts and asks for “approximate" figures. Hooda said “6, total 12”. As Patel hears the number, he adds that the maximum for the party might be 14. He then taunts saying: "Party kahan gayi? (Where has the party gone?)"
Exclusive : हुड्डा- अहमद पटेल की सीक्रेट बातचीत का वीडियो हुआ आउट, इंटरनल सर्वे में 14 सीट जीतने की रिपोर्ट पर अहमद पटेल ने हुड्डा को लताड़ा, पूछा पार्टी गयी कहाँ?@OpIndia_com @BJP4Haryana @HaryanaExpress_ @swati_gs pic.twitter.com/ViWV9GQLNp— AjiHaan (@AjiHaaan) October 2, 2019
The saffron party swept the state winning all 10 seats in the Lok Sabha polls. The pattern in Haryana has been those leading in the General Election, stake claim to power in the elections that follow to the state assembly. The Jan Ki Baat’s projections reiterate the same trend.
The projection suggests that BJP in this year's assembly polls will do better than that of its 2014 performance, going from a seat share of 47 to a projected average of 64 seats -- a 17 seat gain. The projection on the vote share also shows a massive 23.4% increase from 33.3% last election to a predicted 56.7% now. While the projection for the Congress appears to be dismissal with the Congress projected to get almost the same seat share and the vote share like the last election. The INLD split seems to have cost the party which is looking a projected 18 seat fall from its 19 seat tally of 2014 to 1 seat now and a fall in vote share too. The newly formed JJP is projected to see a 25.6% vote share which is higher than the vote share of the INLD last election.