With voting in the Haryana assembly elections having concluded, Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat on Monday released the exit poll for the state to get a snapshot projection of what to expect on counting day. The exit poll survey is done using Jan Ki Baat Probability Map Of Outcome model (PMOO) which is backed by issue wise location matrix. Further, the data is collected through a network of verified field investigator and data analysts.
As per the Republic-Jan Ki Baat's projection, BJP candidate Ram Bilas Sharma is in a close fight with Congress candidate Rao Dan Singh in the Mahendragarh constituency.
Senior BJP leader and minister Ram Bilas Sharma and Congress candidate Rao Dan Singh have been in a one-to-one battle since 2000. While Singh had defeated Sharma in three consecutive elections, the margin of victory decreased with every successive victory. Finally, Sharma won in the 2014 assembly elections by securing 83,724 votes against Singh who received 49,233 votes. The other key candidates are Rajendra Singh from Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) and Dharmendra from Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP).
As per the Republic-Jan Ki Baat's exit poll, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is projected to win the assembly polls in Haryana this year. According to the exit poll, BJP is likely to get 52 to 63 seats (56%). On the other hand, the Congress is projected to get 19 to 15 seats (18%), Jannayak Janta Party (JJP) is projected to get 9 to 5 seats (10%), Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) is projected to get one to zero seats, while the remaining parties are projected to get 9 to 7 seats (16%).
After losing three consecutive elections, the BJP had secured a seat in the 2014 Assembly elections in the Mahendragarh constituency. Further, according to reports, in the 2009 assembly elections, the Congress had less than 6,000 votes more than the BJP.
The 90-seats Haryana Assembly polls had started at 7 AM and concluded at 6 PM on Monday. According to the Election Commission's announcement, the counting will be done on October 24. Reports stated that Haryana tightened its security with more than 40,000 police personnel and over 13,000 paramilitary personnel. Along with this, more than 20,000 Home Guards and Special Police Officers were deployed. The current term for Haryana's Assembly will come to an end on November 2.