The Haryana polls have just ended and the Republic-Jan ki Baat exit poll has provided an on-the-ground snapshot of what to expect on the counting day as the Haryana Assembly election results are announced. The survey was done using Jan Ki Baat Probability Map Of Outcome model (PMOO) which is backed by issue wise location matrix. The sample is geo-strategically selected through purposive sampling with weighted consideration to caste, and demography factors. These factors are taken into consideration while selecting the sample and the polling booth data is collected through a network of verified field investigators and data analysts.
The Jan Ki Baat exit polls has projected that in the Haryana Assembly polls, in the Baroda seat, wrestler & Olympian Yogeshwar Dutt is in a tight 50-50 battle with the two-time sitting MLA Krishan Hooda of the Indian National Congress party. History is against Dutt as well, since BJP has never won the Baroda seat in the Haryana Assembly. Krishan Hooda has won the Assembly elections in 2009 and 2014.
Haryana's 90 seats are projected to see the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) return to power with a majority in the state. The exit poll projects that the BJP is expected to win 52-63 seats, the INC is expected to win 15-19 seats, the JJP is expected to win 5-9 seats while the Independent candidates and smaller parties are expected to win 7-9 seats. The BJP is likely to get the highest vote share with 56% of the votes, followed by the INC with 18%, INLD 7%, JJP 10%, and Other parties and candidates are likely to win 9% of the votes. The exit-poll comes barely six months after the 2019 Lok Sabha polls had witnessed BJP winning 10/10 seats in the state.
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