The voting to 90 assembly constituencies in Haryana concluded on Monday. As per the latest figures released by the Election Commission of India, the State has registered a voting percentage of 63.55%. In association with Republic, Jan Ki Baat conducted an Exit Poll using the Probability Map Of Outcome model (PMOO), which is backed by issue wise location matrix. The sample was geo-strategically selected through purposive sampling with weighted consideration to caste, and demography factors. These factors were taken into consideration while selecting the sample and the polling booth. Data was collected through a network of verified field investigators and data analysts. It was a ground-based scientific exercise covering every Assembly seat.
The series of defeats for Congress communications in-charge Randeep Singh Surjewala is unlikely to end as the Republic-Jan Ki Baat Exit Poll has projected that his BJP opponent Leela Ram is likely to win from the Kaithal seat. Earlier, the former suffered a humiliating defeat in the Jind by-elections held this year. Despite this setback, the incumbent MLA from Kaithal entered the poll fray. While Surjewala was earlier an MLA in Narwana, he switched to this constituency in 2014. Apart from Surjewala and BJP's Ram, Anil Kumar from INLD is also contesting the election.
BJP successfully formed its government in Haryana for the first time in 2014 under the leadership of Manohar Lal Khattar. The party also won all 10 Lok Sabha seats in the State in 2019. Now, the Exit Poll has projected that the party will even surpass its 2014 tally of 47 seats. It can get anywhere between 52 to 63 seats. Moreover, there is also a prediction of BJP achieving a voteshare of 56%. On the other hand, Congress is projected to gain approximately 15 to 19 seats. The tally of the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) is projected go down to just a seat. In contrast, Jannayak Janata Party (JJP) is likely to secure nearly 5 to 9 seats. Furthermore, others including Independents and smaller parties are projected to win 7 to 9 seats.