Haryana Exit Poll: Subhash Barala projected to retain his seat

The Haryana polls have just ended and the Republic-Jan Ki Baat Exit Polls have conducted an on-the-ground exit poll survey to understand the voting preference of the public in the Haryana Assembly polls. The survey is done using Jan Ki Baat Probability Map Of Outcome model (PMOO) which is backed by issue wise location matrix. The sample is geo-strategically selected through purposive sampling with weighted consideration to caste, and demography factors. These factors are taken into consideration while selecting the sample and the polling booth. Data is collected through a network of verified field investigators and data analysts.

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Barala projected to keep his seat

The Jan Ki Baat exit poll has concluded that in the Haryana Assembly polls in the Tohana seat, Subhash Barala is projected to win his seat again, defeating Paramvir Singh of the Indian National Congress (INC) and Rajpal Saini of the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) and others. 

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BJP's emergence in Haryana

In the 2014 Haryana polls, BJP won the seat, defeating Nishan Singh of the INLD. Congress had a very strong hold over the region with Singh winning the previous two elections with a fine margin. However, the party was not able to stop the rising BJP wave and was swept away by it.

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State predictions

Haryana's 90 seats will see the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) return to power with a majority in the state, as projected by the Exit Poll. The exit poll projects that the BJP is projected to win 52-63 seats, the INC is projected to win 15-19 seats, the JJP is projected to win 5-9 seats while the Independent candidates and smaller parties are projected to win 7-9 seats. The BJP is likely to get the highest vote share with 56% of the votes, followed by the INC with 18%, INLD 7%, JJP 10%, and Other parties and candidates are likely to win 9% of the votes.

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