With the Maharashtra assembly polls concluding on Monday, all eyes are on who will emerge victorious when votes are counted on Thursday. Ahead of that, Republic-Jan Ki Baat's Exit Poll has brought viewers the most accurate projection of what to expect on October 24. The fight for the Colaba assembly seat will be between the Bharatiya Janata Party's Rahul Narvekar and the Congress' Ashok Jagtap. Here is what the Exit poll projects:
BJP's Rahul Narvekar is projected to win over Congress leader Ashok Arjunrao Alias Bhai Jagtap and six other candidates which include Jitendra Kamble from Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi (VBA) and Arjun Rukhe from the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP). Rahul Narvekar switched to the BJP right before filing his nomination from Colaba on October 4. Both Jagtap and Narvekar are currently members of the legislative council.
#ExitPollOnRepublic | Maharashtra elections: Aaditya Thackeray projected to win from Worli— Republic (@republic) October 21, 2019
Tune in to watch the Republic-Jan Ki Baat exit poll LIVE here - https://t.co/jghcajZuXf pic.twitter.com/10r8oXCY3v
The Colaba constituency in Maharashtra is a key and prominent seat in the Maharashtra assembly elections, which was, in 2014, won by Raj K Purohit, by defeating Pandurang Sakpal of Shiv Sena. 15 candidates contested the elections for the seat. In the previous election, the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance earned 185 seat majority in the Assembly, while the Congress and the NCP won 42 and 41 seats respectively.
NDA is projected to secure in the range of 216 to 230 seats with reigning BJP laying hold of a significant number with 135 to 142 seats on its own followed by its ally Shiv Sena, which is predicted to secure 81 to 88 seats in Maharashtra. Sharad Pawar's NCP is predicted to grab 30 to 35 seats. Meanwhile, Congress is estimated to contribute 20 to 24 seats to the UPA alliance. The counting of votes and final results will be declared on October 24. The term of the Devendra Fadnavis-led current Maharashtra Assembly will end on 9 November.
The survey is done using Jan Ki Baat Probability Map Of Outcome model (PMOO) which is backed by issue wise location matrix. The sample is geo-strategically selected through purposive sampling with weighted consideration to caste, and demography factors. These factors are taken into consideration while selecting the sample and the polling booth Data is collected through a network of verified field investigators, data analysts. It's a ground-based scientific exercise covering every assembly seat.