With the Maharashtra assembly elections taking place on Monday, Republic-Jan Ki Baat's Exit Poll has brought viewers the most accurate prediction of what to expect on October 24 when counting of votes takes place. The projection is based on extensive and statistically significant on-ground sapling on voting-day.
In Baramati, Nationalist Congress Party's Ajit Pawar is likely to win leaving Bhartiya Janata Party's Gopichand Kundlik Padalkar and others on the losing side. Ajit Pawar in 2014 won in the Baramati seat by defeating the BJP candidate by a margin of 89791 votes which was 39.31% of the total votes polled in the constituency. NCP had a vote share of 65.92% in 2014 in the seat.
In the previous Maharashtra assembly election in 2014, the BJP, Shiv Sena, Congress, and NCP won 122, 63, 42 and 41 seats respectively. The BJP-Shiv Sena combine earned 185 seat majority in the Assembly. For the Congress and the NCP, the 2014 election turned out to be a disastrous one.
However, in the 2014 elections, the BJP and Shiv Sena did not align before the elections, but it did not have any impact on BJP who the highest number of seats, forcing the Shiv Sena to join hands with the party.
As per the Republic-Jan Ki Baat exit polls NDA is projected to secure seats in the range of 216 to 230 seats with BJP laying hold of a significant majority with 135 to 142 seats. Followed by ally Shiv Sena, which is predicted to secure 81 to 88 seats in Maharashtra Sharad Pawar's NCP is predicted to grab 30 to 35 seats. Meanwhile, Congress is estimated to contribute 20 to 24 seats to the UPA alliance.
#ExitPollOnRepublic | महाराष्ट्र में बीजेपी को 135-142 सीटें मिलने का अनुमान - एग्जिट पोल के अनुसार— रिपब्लिक.भारत (@Republic_Bharat) October 21, 2019
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In Maharashtra, where the 'Mahayuti' alliance of BJP, Shiv Sena and smaller parties is against the 'Maha-agadhi' led by the Congress and the NCP. In the 288-member Assembly, the Bharatiya Janata Party is contesting on 164 seats, which includes candidates of smaller allies. Shiv Sena has fielded 126 candidates. Congress, on the other hand, has candidates in 147 constituencies and NCP will contest 121 seats.