As the Maharashtra Assembly polls come to an end on Monday evening, the Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat have conducted the exit poll based on the ground surveys for a snapshot projection of the Maharashtra Assembly polls. The survey is done using the Jan Ki Baat Probability Map Of Outcome model (PMOO) which is backed by issue wise location matrix.
According to Republic-Jan Ki Baat's exit poll, the Indian National Congress (INC) candidate Prithviraj Chavan is projected to retain his seat in the Karad South constituency with Bhartiya Janata Party's Dr. Atulbaba Suresh Bhosale lagging in the second place.
Chavan, former Union minister had earlier said he was confident of retaining the seat with a comfortable win, while BJP was pinning its hopes on Atul Bhosale, the president of Pandharpur's Vitthal Rakhumai Temple Committee.
In the 2014 Maharashtra Assembly elections, Chavan Prithviraj Dajisaheb of INC won in this seat by defeating the IND candidate by a margin of 16418 votes which was 8.11% of the total votes polled in the constituency. INC had a vote share of 37.96% in 2014 in the seat. During the 2014 elections, Chavan polled 76,831 votes, Vilasrao Undalkar-Patil received 60,413 votes while Bhosale bagged 58,621 votes.
In the previous election in 2014, the BJP, Shiv Sena, Congress, and NCP won 122, 63, 42 and 41 seats respectively in Maharashtra. The BJP-Shiv Sena combine earned 185 seat majority in the Assembly alone. For the Congress and the NCP, the 2014 election turned out to be a disastrous one.
As the electoral process for Maharashtra assembly polls concluded on October 21, the predictions Jan Ki Baat reckon a landslide victory for the saffron alliance of BJP-Shiv Sena. While the UPA coalition of Congress-NCP in Maharashtra is projected to lag behind with a significant difference in the number of seats. NDA is projected to secure seats in the range of 216 to 230 seats with BJP laying hold of a significant majority with 135 to 142 seats. Followed by ally Shiv Sena, who is predicted to secure 81 to 88 seats in Maharashtra Sharad Pawar's NCP is predicted to grab 30 to 35 seats. Meanwhile, Congress is estimated to contribute 20 to 24 seats to the UPA alliance. The projection is based on extensive and statistically significant on-ground sapling on counting-day.
#ExitPollOnRepublic | महाराष्ट्र में बीजेपी को 135-142 सीटें मिलने का अनुमान - एग्जिट पोल के अनुसार— रिपब्लिक.भारत (@Republic_Bharat) October 21, 2019
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