With the dates for the all-important Lok Sabha polls now announced to take place in seven phases, the various political parties and the citizens of India have complete clarity on exactly when the country will once again undertake the largest exercise in democracy anywhere in the world. To present a snapshot projection of where the various parties stand at the moment in different states, Republic TV and CVoter have published the National Approval Ratings which present a complete picture of what would happen if elections are held today.
While there has been a massive of words between the Congress and AAP over an alliance for 2019 polls in the national capital, BJP is predicted to massively topple the Arvind Kejriwal government in Delhi and by winning all the seven seats, and leaving none for Congress and AAP. As per vote shares NDA is projected to have a vote-share of 45.4%, followed by Congress with 23.7% and AAP at 23.9%.
Here are the numbers for Delhi:
UPA - 23.7 percent
NDA - 45.4 percent
AAP - 23.9 percent
Others - 7 percent
UPA - 0
NDA - 7
AAP - 0
Comparison with earlier predictions:
January predictions: BJP was predicted to usurp the Arvind Kejriwal government in Delhi with a clean sweep of seven seats, while thus leaving Congress and AAP at zero.
On one hand, AAP is accusing Congress to be in cahoot of BJP, the Rahul Gandhi party alleged that few AAP leaders have been in touch with the party with the intentions of joining it. Both party president Rahul Gandhi and Delhi Congress chief Sheila Dikshit have denied on the indications of alliance with the Arvind Kejriwal-led party stating it to be a unanimous decision by the senior leadership.
The months preceding the latest National Approval Ratings have witnessed a number of massive developments that may have a big impact on the on-ground sentiment as the phase-wise voting approaches. A parallel CVoter survey has already indicated that citizens' satisfaction with the performance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been on an upswing since the Feb 1 budget where a number of significant announcements were made - especially for farmers and for middle-class taxpayers. This satisfaction index the skyrocketed following India's air-strike against Pakistani terror bases across the LoC. Simultaneously, the satisfaction index of Congress president Rahul Gandhi has spiralled downward in the same time-frame.