On the occasion when the dates for the Lok Sabha elections have been declared by the Election Commission of India, Republic and CVoter bring you the National Approval Ratings.
The survey gives you a picture of who will win if the polls are held on this date in Bihar.
The survey shows that out of 40 seats, the NDA alliance which has the BJP, the LJP and the JDU is expected to win 36 seats. While the UPA is likely to get only 4 seats.
In terms of vote share, NDA is likely to receive 49.4% whereas the UPA is likely to 37.1%, and others are likely to receive 13.6%.
Here's the projected breakdown of seat share and vote share from January:
The NDA, that is the BJP, the LJP and the JDU, is projected to get a vote share of 45.1% with a seat share of 35 seats. On the other hand, things are not looking good for the UPA as they are projected to manage only 5 seats out of the 40 seats up for grab with the vote share of 37.5%.
Since the December edition, things have not majorly changed. That means it is a stable ride for BJP- LJP and the JD(U) alliance despite the exit of RLSP.
In November edition, the NDA was projected to make further strides as compared to 2014 when it won 31 seats, gaining 3 more for a seat share of 34. The 2014 NDA comprised the BJP, LJP and RSLP, whereas now it has also added Bihar CM Nitish Kumar to its fold. The UPA, comprising Congress, Lalu Prasad's RJD and the NCP, had won 7 seats in 2014 (Cong - 2, RJD - 4, NCP - 1), but was projected to win 6 at the juncture (Congress - 1, RJD - 5).
(The results of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.)