As per the Republic-CVoter National Approval Ratings, BS Yeddyurappa led BJP will be winning big in Karnataka. The state of Karnataka is crucial as this where the rumble and grumble of the Mahagathbandhan began. As per the projections, the BJP will get 18 of the 28 seats in Karnataka, while the Congress with 7 seats will get less than half of the majority. Even the JDS doesn’t seem to be moving much as as per the projections, the JDS has climbed from its 2 seats in 2014 to 3 as of October 2018.
Notably, since 2004, the BJP has maintained a strong lead in Karnataka in the General Elections, no matter the political dispensation in the state. Given that the BJP is projected to lead in the state with 18 seats in 2019 points at failure of the symbolic Mahagathbandhan to break the BJP’s 14 year winning streak in the state.
Furthermore, even if the Congress and the JDS decide to come together for the 2019 General Assembly Elections, it will not result into a major shift.
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HERE’S THE POSSIBILITY IF THE CONGRESS AND JDS GO TOGETHER:
- If the Congress and the JDS join hands, then it will undoubtedly benefit the UPA because the original seatshare tally for the Congress was projected at 7, which will be expected to go up to 10 seats. However, even if the JDS and the Congress come together, it will make no difference to the JDS.
- While this possibility means that the Congress’ solo performance will get a boost-- it will only be an individual boost for the Congress and not in the individual party interest of the JDS which will not see much movement.
- While the Congress will gain 3 seats in this scenario, those three seats come directly from the BJP’s kitty given the fact that the original seat projection of 18 slides to 15 in this scenario.
READ | National Approval Ratings: In Politically Complex Karnataka, NDA Likely To Win 18 Seats Leaving 7 For UPA & 3 Seats For JDS