National Approval Ratings: In 29-seat Madhya Pradesh, NDA Projected To Emerge Victorious By Bringing UPA Down To 6 Seats


With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter are back with the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held today.

Written By Daamini Sharma | Mumbai | Updated On:

With the 2019 Lok Sabha elections looming ever larger, the political scenario in the country is currently in a state of flux, with parties desperately figuring out seat-sharing terms, snubbing or accepting each other with respect to alliances, or fielding their big names in various states. Republic TV and CVoter are back with the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held today. 

Here are the projections made by the National Approval Ratings for Madhya Pradesh:

While BJP lost the majority in the Hindi heartland of Madhya Pradesh in assembly elections 2018, it is projected to sweep the state in the Lok Sabha elections with 23 seats out of the total 29. Furthermore, Congress is projected to get only 6 seats. 

Seat Share:

  • UPA: 6 seat
  • NDA: 23 seats

Vote Share:

  • UPA: 44.1%
  • NDA: 48.4%
  • Others: 7.5%

December edition: Things haven't changed a bit in terms of seat share if we compare the projection for the month of January with December. However, in terms of vote share, in UPA has made a jump from  43.0 to 44.1% whereas NDA's vote share has decreased from 48.5 to 48.4%.  

In the November edition in Madhya Pradesh, BJP-led NDA was projected to grab 22 seats, losing a handful of them in comparison to the 2014 elections. On the other hand, Congress was projected to secure 7 seats as compared to 2 in 2014. Coming to vote share, the BJP, which had secured a sensational 54.1% votes in 2014, November projections stated the figure to fall to 47.2%. The Congress, on the other hand, was projected to have gained 3.6% vote share over 2014 (34.9%), with 38.5%.

While in the October edition, the predictions suggested BJP to secure 23 seats, four less than previous time in 2014. Even their vote share was expected to fall down by 4.7%. Congress, however, was projected to be a direct beneficiary in this with a rise in their seat share to 6, and vote share to 42%. Others' vote share was set to go down to 8.6%.

Read: National Approval Ratings: In 29-seat Madhya Pradesh, NDA Projected To Win Big Despite Assembly Election Loss At Congress' Hands

The election year 2019 started off with India’s opposition appearing largely unwilling to acquiesce to Rahul Gandhi's proposal of the Congress serving as a platform for regional parties to come together in order to defeat the BJP. Despite the Congress successes in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, in Uttar Pradesh, the much-heralded Mahagathbandhan turned out to just be a 'Gathbandhan' as old enemies Akhilesh Yadav and Mayawati left the Congress out, forming an SP-BSP alliance. Left on its own, the Congress resolved to contest every one of the state's 80 seats and proceeded to formally induct Priyanka Gandhi Vadra into the party, appointing her and Jyotiraditya Scindia as General Secretaries for Uttar Pradesh. Elsewhere, former Gujarat CM Shankarsinh Vaghela is to join the NCP, while the Congress alliance with the TDP in Andhra Pradesh is also in doubt. Meanwhile, the BJP and Shiv Sena may have witnessed a thaw in their relationship with the Maharashtra government sanctioning Rs 100 crore for a Balasaheb Thackeray memorial. 

On issues concerning large numbers of people, the government passed a constitutional amendment giving a green signal to provide 10 percent reservation in jobs and educational institutions to economically weaker sections in the general category, while numerous agrarian schemes that needn't necessarily be farm-loan waivers have also been spoken of in the lead-up to the Modi government's final budget.

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