National Approval Ratings LIVE | BJP Or Congress: Who Will Win If Elections Are Held Today?

Politics

The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter presented the National Approval Ratings.

Written By Shatabdi Chowdhury | Mumbai | Updated On:

Update at 8.56 pm: West Bengal:  As per the National Approval Ratings, TMC to win 25 out of 42 seats in West Bengal, BJP to gain massively in the state.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=1

NDA=1

TMC=25

OTHERS-1=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=7.6

NDA=31.2

CPM=14.9

TMC=39.6

OTHERS-1=6.7

Update at 8.53 pm: Uttar Pradesh:  As per the National Approval Ratings, BSP-SP alliance projected to win 42 seats.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=2

NDA=36

MGB=42

OTHERS-2=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=5.7

NDA=44.3

MGB=44.8

OTHERS-2=5.3

Update at 8.52 pm: Uttarakhand: As per the National Approval Ratings, Congress to lose all seats in the state. 

Update at 8.43 p.m: Telangana:  As per the National Approval Ratings, KCR will be the boss in Telangana with 9 seats

Update at 8.37 p.m: Tamil Nadu: As per the National Approval Ratings, DMK set to make a big comeback in the state.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=0

NDA=2

DMK=28

AIADMK=9

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=3.7

NDA=8.8

DMK=39.4

AIADMK=23.5

OTHERS=24.7

Update at 8.35 p.m: Sikkim: As per the National Approval Ratings, the SDF which held the single seat in 2014 for the NDA is set to retain it for the NDA.

Update at 8.33 p.m: Rajasthan: As per the National Approval Ratings, NDA seat share dips from 25 to 18 in the state.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=7

NDA=18

OTHERS=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=42.9

NDA=47.1

OTHERS=10.1

Update at 8.28 p.m: Punjab: As per the National Approval Ratings, big win for Congress in Punjab.

Update at 8.27 p.m: Puducherry: As per the National Approval Ratings, NDA to lose the Puducherry seat.

Update at 8.22 p.m: Odisha: As per the National Approval Ratings, massive setback for Naveen Patnaik's BJD, BJP projected to win 13 seats in the state.

Update at 8.18 p.m: Maharashtra: As per the National Approval Ratings, split with Shiv Sena to cost NDA.

Update at 8.10 p.m: Madhya Pradesh: As per the National Approval Ratings, BJP to win 23 out of 29 seats.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=6

NDA=23

OTHERS=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=42.0

NDA=49.4

OTHERS=8.6

Update at 8.07 p.m: Nagaland: As per the National Approval Ratings, it’s status quo in Nagaland with the NDA retaining the 1 seat that it won in 2014, that was by the NPF.

Update at 8.05 p.m: Mizoram:  As per the National Approval Ratings, there seems to be status quo again There’s just one seat in the seat and the Congress which won it in 2014 is looking to retain it.

Update at 8.02 p.m: Meghalaya: As per the National Approval Ratings, there seems to be status quo in Meghalaya as well in terms of seat-share and vote-share.

Update at 8.01 p.m: Manipur: As per the National Approval Ratings, in Manipur, there’s a projected direct shift of 2 seats from the Congress to the BJP

Update at 8.00 p.m: Lakshadweep: As per the National Approval Ratings, Congress will retain the only state.

Update at 7.55 p.m: Kerala: As per the National Approval Ratings, BJP will be failing to make inroads in Kerala and Congress will be winning 16 out of 20 seats in the state.

Update at 7.44 pm: Karnataka: As per the National Approval Ratings, BS Yeddyurappa-led BJP will be gaining big in the state.

Update at 7.35 pm: Jharkhand: As per the National Approval Ratings, BJP projected to drop from 12 to 8 seats.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=5

NDA=8

JVM=1

OTHERS-2=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=39.0

NDA=42.3

JVM=6.7

OTHERS-2=12.0

Update at 7.22 pm: As per the National Approval Ratings, UPA to win 4 out of 6 seats in Jammu-Kashmir.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=4

NDA=2

OTHERS-1=0

OTHERS-2=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=37.3

NDA=30.1

PDP= 13.9

OTHERS=18.7

Update at 7.22 pm: As per the National Approval Ratings, BJP to sweep the state.

Update at 7.20 pm: Haryana: BJP projected to beat INLD, Congress in Haryana.

Update at 7.14 pm: Gujarat: As per the National Approval Ratings, Gujarat to remain BJP bastion.

Update at 7.13 pm: Goa: With 2 seats up for grabs in Goa and Manohar Parrikar taking ill, there is a lot of anticipation as to Goa’s fate. As of now, it seems as though out of the 2 seats, 1 will go to the BJP and the other to the Congress so the Parekar factor may be of some impact for the BJP

Update at 7.10 pm: DELHI: As per the National Approval Ratings, BJP will sweep Delhi.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=0

NDA=7

OTHERS-1=0

OTHERS-2=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=28

NDA=41.7

AAP=26.5

OTHERS-2=3.2

Update at 7.04 pm: Daman & Diu went with the BJP in 2014 and is projected to go with the BJP in 2019. However, it is interesting to note that both the BJP and the Congress have been projected to see a downward spiral in vote-share.

Update at 7.04 pm: As per the National Approval Ratings, a solo seat up for grabs in Dadra and Nagar Haveli. It was with the BJP in 2014 and it is likely to go again with the BJP as per the October, 2018 projections.

Update at 6.52 pm: Chhattisgarh: As per the National Approval Ratings, Raman Singh-led BJP to sweep Chhattisgarh.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

NDA=9

UPA=3

CJC=0

OTHERS=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

NDA=48.2

UPA=39.1

CJC=8.5

OTHERS=4.3

Update at 6.52 pm: Chandigarh: As per the National Approval Ratings, BJP projected to win lone Chandigarh seat.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

NDA=1

UPA=0

OTHERS-1=0

OTHERS-2=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

NDA=42.0

UPA=28.9

AAP=12.8

OTHERS-2=16.3

Update at 6.27 pm: As per the National Approval Ratings, allies to help BJP to sweep Bihar.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

NDA=31

UPA=9

OTHERS=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

NDA=46.2

UPA=33.7

OTHERS=20.1

Update at 6.21 pm: Assam:  As per the National Approval Ratings, AIUDF to lose ground in Assam, gains for NDA in seat share.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=4

NDA=9

OTHERS-1=1

OTHERS-2=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=40.3

NDA=45.4

OTHERS-1=3.4

OTHERS-2=0

Update at 6.18 pm: Arunachal Pradesh: As per the National Approval Ratings, UPA projected to lose ground in the state.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=0

NDA=2

OTHERS=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=40.3

NDA=56.7

OTHERS=0

Update at 6.02 pm: Andhra Pradesh: As per the National Approval Ratings, YSRCP's Jaganmohan Reddy will be the king.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION: 

UPA=0

NDA=0

OTHERS-1=21

OTHERS-2=4

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=7.2

NDA=12.5

OTHERS-1=41.9

OTHERS-2=31.4

Update at 6.00 pm: Andaman & Nicobar Islands: As per the National Approval Ratings, the BJP is going to pick up the solo seat in the same way that it did in 2014.

SEAT SHARE PROJECTION: 

UPA=0

NDA= 1

OTHERS=0

VOTE SHARE PROJECTION:

UPA=39.4

NDA=43.2

OTHERS=0


With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic and CVoter presented the National Approval Ratings to give complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held today. National Approval Rating is the largest, most accurate and most studied survey of the length and breadth of this country to bring the most realistic picture of the mood of the electorate if the elections were held today.

2018 has been a blockbuster year so far as far as the political landscape of India is concerned. While BJP managed to form government in 3 states this year, either in alliance or on its own, gaining a massive lead over the Opposition, the Congress, by forming government in Karnataka by tying up with the JDS, saved itself from being out of power in all large states, save for Punjab. Out of 4 states, which went to polls this year, BJP has its government on its own in Tripura and with alliance partners in two states, namely, Meghalaya (with National People’s Party), Nagaland (with Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party), whereas the Congress managed to form government in Karnataka with JDS as its alliance partner.

The political narrative could change as India is still looking at elections in 5 states, namely, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Mizoram and Telangana. So far, the situations are not looking very favorable for the Congress as in 3 out of the 5 states, the party would be fighting incumbency and to top that, Mayawati dumping Congress and going alone in the Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan elections has delivered hammer-blow to the Mahagathbandhan dream of the Opposition to defeat the BJP in 2019 elections. In Telangana, too, the situation is grim for the Congress, as after dissolving the state assembly, caretaker Chief Minister KCR announced 105 of 119 assembly candidates from his TRS party, however, he didn’t announce candidates for any of the seats where BJP MLAs were incumbent, setting in motion speculations of TRS allying with the BJP.

The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter presented the National Approval Ratings.

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