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Updated October 4th, 2018 at 20:21 IST

National Approval Ratings: NDA to lead Maharashtra with 22 seats followed by UPA with 11, NCP with 8 & SS with 7 seats

With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held in September 2018.

Reported by: Daamini Sharma
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With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held in September 2018. In the state of Maharashtra, there are 48 Lok Sabha seats. Th BJP, the INC, the NCP and the Shiv Sena are amongst the major players eyeing these seats.  ANd with no alliance for 2019 announced as yet, here are the projections:

  • Overall, the lack of a declared NDA alliance means a fall in the seats of the NDA from 42 in 2014 to 22 in 2018
  • Overall, the lack of declared alliances means that the SHiv Sena by itself is pulling 7 seats in Maharashtra down from its 18 seat tally in 2014
  • Overall, the safe distancing of Sharad Pawar from BJP and Congress, seems to be helping the NCP given the fact that, it is the only party that has gained in the present projection. From a 4 seat tally in 2014 to a 8 seat tally in 2018. Though, in an overall picture of 48 seats, that is not much to boast about

IMPORTANT TO NOTE: While the voteshares individually of all other parties in the state have fallen, teh BJP has taken its individual voteshare of 27.6% and seems to be spinning a surprise with amassing a 38% voteshare on its own-that’s a big thumbs up from the electorate for Devendra Fadnavis’ governance in Maharashtra
 

  • Overall, the Congress story is such that without its NCP ally, it’s overall UPA voteshare might fall by 7% from its 2014 performance, but comparing the COngress’ individual performance compared to its own 2014 individual performance is seeing the Congress gain by just over 9% which is getting translated into a 9 seat gain
  • Considering the fact that the Shiv Sena is slated to go from a high of 18 to a thud of 7 seats that places it even below  the NCP, doesn’t Uddhav Thackeray desperately need to cobble up an alliance with the BJp keeping egos aside?
  • In fact with the BJP pulling 22 out of 48 seats on its own, it has ensured that not only has it left the Congress behind in terms of projections but also means that it has once again ensured that regional parties like NCP and Shiv Sena are fringe players in Maharashtra.  

Read: National Approval Ratings LIVE | BJP or Congress: Who will win if elections are held today?

2018 has been a blockbuster year so far as far as the political landscape of India is concerned. While BJP managed to form government in 3 states this year, either in alliance or on its own, gaining a massive lead over the Opposition, the Congress, by forming government in Karnataka by tying up with the JDS, saved itself from being out of power in all large states, save for Punjab. Out of 4 states, which went to polls this year, BJP has its government on its own in Tripura and with alliance partners in two states, namely, Meghalaya (with National People’s Party), Nagaland (with Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party), whereas the Congress managed to form government in Karnataka with JDS as its alliance partner.

The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.

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Published October 4th, 2018 at 20:21 IST

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