Polls of Polls: BJP Set to Sweep Assam and West Bengal, Mamata Runners Up With 134 Seats; UDF In Kerala, Himanta Majority In Assam

Exit Poll Results 2026 Updates: 15 takeaways from the Poll of Polls

1. BJP set to double 2021 tally in Bengal to 150+
2. TMC could lose almost 6-8% of its voteshare
3. The 'fearless vote' in Bengal is the kingmaker
4. SIR & anti-incumbency hurt Mamata's TMC
5. Large Hindu consolidation seen in Bengal
6. NDA may not have done enough to unseat Stalin
7. Vijay still holds the key to who forms govt in Tamil Nadu
8. Possibility of Vijay sweep if voteshare crosses 35%
9. Himanta emerges even stronger in Assam
10. Pro-incumbency wave for Himanta in Assam
11. Himanta maintains voteshare, improves seat share
12. Delimitation & SIR in Assam has had a big impact
13. Huge Hindu consolidation helps BJP in Assam
14. UDF ahead but Kerala may be a hung assembly
15. Despite anti-incumbency, Cong may have not done enough in Kerala

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: On exit poll results, BJP MP Aparajita Sarangi says, "Under the leadership of the Prime Minister and Home Minister, and through the hard work of BJP workers, success is clear. People have embraced the BJP’s ideology and leadership. In Assam, good governance under Himanta Biswa Sarma has won strong public support, ensuring another term. In West Bengal, the BJP has risen from three seats to 77, and now looks set to form a double‑engine government. Puducherry too will see NDA return. In Kerala and Tamil Nadu, the BJP’s vote share is rising, and progress is evident. Historic turnout shows people’s faith in democracy and their trust in the BJP’s leadership. This is a great victory for our workers and our leadership."

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: On exit polls, Uttar Pradesh BJP President Pankaj Chaudhary says, "Under the leadership of Prime Minister Modi and BJP, the good governance we have, based on the work we are doing, the public makes its decision. In West Bengal, the public is tired of the politics of hooliganism and appeasement, and the public there is going to give the BJP a massive victory. We seek support from the public based on our work."

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: After the exit polls predicting a clear victory for the BJP in West Bengal, Congress leader Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury said, "The anti‑incumbency wave has split across all opposition parties. It is hard to say so quickly where and how TMC will factor into this, but it is clear that there has been a huge anti‑TMC vote. However, these votes have scattered across the opposition—some to BJP, some to Congress, some to CPI(M), some to Humayun Kabir’s party."

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: On West Bengal Exit Polls, BJP leader Gourav Vallabh reacted, saying, "4 May, TMC would be gone from Bengal, and BJP would form a good governance model. Exit polls already show the BJP crossing 155–160 seats, and I am confident the final results will be even higher. In Assam, BJP is set for a third term with more than two‑thirds of the seats, as voters have rejected Congress’s dynastic politics and backed development under Himanta Biswa Sarma. In Puducherry, NDA is also on course to return. In Kerala, our vote share is doubling, and in Tamil Nadu, we expect positive results too."

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Responding to the Exit Poll predictions, Union Minister Ramdas Athawale said, "Results of 5 states are coming on May 4. The West Bengal election is very important for us, and we have made a lot of efforts there. We have campaigned there to make Bengal Sonar Bangla. We are confident that a BJP-NDA government will be formed in West Bengal."

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Pradeep Gupta predicts a "scenario change" in Bengal and a massive youth shift in Tamil Nadu, with TVK challenging the DMK. While pollsters debate an ADMK "obliteration," BJP sees strong pro-incumbency in Assam. "It's a standout result," notes Arnab Goswami.

#RepublicPollofPolls | Watch Pradeep Gupta, Director & CMD, Axis My India(@PradeepGuptaAMI) Projections | WATCH

Watch #DebateWithArnab now, on-air, and online. Tune in and fire in your comments: https://t.co/V8Ig08ObTW#ExitPollsWithArnab | #May4WithArnab | #RepublicWorld… pic.twitter.com/NtiunPjFcU

— Republic (@republic) April 29, 2026

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: ‘We ended up talking to 20-30% of people of our sample, 70-80% didn’t speak up’: Pradeep Gupta, Director & CMD, Axis My India

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: ‘If Congress losses there will be no news, if they win then it will be a news’: Rohan Gupta, National Spokesperson, BJP

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: During the Debate With Arnab show M R Venkatesh, Lawyer & Political Analyst said, ‘DMK definitely has an edge because of its superior ground power’

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: During the exit polls at Arnab's show Pro TMC advocate Sudipta Sarkar, said that, "Today Bengal has celebrated its democracy."

#RepublicPollofPolls | ‘Today Bengal has celebrated its democracy’: Sudipta Sarkar, Advocate , Pro TMC

Watch #DebateWithArnab now, on-air, and online. Tune in and fire in your comments: https://t.co/2SDcR4WO6j#ExitPollsWithArnab | #May4WithArnab | #RepublicWorld #RepublicTV… pic.twitter.com/HxjDWUmAMV

— Republic (@republic) April 29, 2026

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: JVC Exit Polls Shows BJP's strong hold in Assam with 88-101 seats for NDA

#PollOfPolls | JVC Predicts 88-101 seats for NDA, 23-33 for INDI, 02-05 for others in Assam

Join the unparalleled coverage across 5 states with closest predictions with Arnab & Team. Tune in here to watch : https://t.co/2SDcR4WO6j#ExitPollsWithArnab | #May4WithArnab |… pic.twitter.com/tvi6qouUQM

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Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: During the exit polls prediction at Arnab's show Sushanta Borgohain, MLA, BJP said that, “People have seen a new Assam and development."

#PollOfPolls | “People have seen a new Assam and development.”: Sushanta Borgohain (@borgohainSBG), MLA, BJP.

Join the unparalleled coverage across 5 states with closest predictions with Arnab & Team. Tune in here to watch : https://t.co/2SDcR4WO6j#ExitPollsWithArnab |… pic.twitter.com/d7ORZUipT6

— Republic (@republic) April 29, 2026

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: P-Marq Shows BJP's strong comeback in Assam 

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Matrize shows BJP Alliance leading in Assam with 85-95 Seats

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Axis My India predicts 88-100 for NDA, 24-36 for INDI in Assam

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Matrize exit polls predicts UDF leading with 70-75 seats in Keralam

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: P-Marq exit polls shows UDF leading in Keralam with 71-79 seats, BJP holding 1-4 seats. 

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Matrize Exit polls shows DMK Alliance leading with 122-132 seats, where AIADMK+ having projected seats of 87-100. 

P-Marq exit polls shows a strong sweep by the DMK Alliance with a seat prediction of 125-145 with a vote share of 36%. Whereas the AIADMK+ gets a prediction of 65-85 seats.  

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Matrize exit poll projections for the 2026 West Bengal Assembly elections indicate a tight contest, with the BJP projected to secure 146–161 seats and a vote share of 42.5%, while the TMC+ alliance is estimated to win 125–140 seats with 40.8% votes. Others are expected to get 6–10 seats with a 16.7% vote share. The projections, based on a survey conducted between April 23 and April 29 with a sample size of 68,750, carry a margin of error of ±3%.

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: According to polling agency PMARQ exit polls predictions, the BJP is set to win 150–170 seats in the 2026 Assembly elections.

P-MARQ’s exit poll projections for the 2026 Assembly elections suggest a strong lead for DMK+ in Tamil Nadu, with 125–145 seats and a 36% vote share. ADMK+ is projected to secure 65–85 seats with 31% votes, while TVK may win 16–26 seats with a 23% vote share. The estimates carry an error margin of ±3%.

In Kerala, the race appears closely contested. The UDF is projected to win 71–79 seats with a 39% vote share, narrowly ahead of the LDF at 62–69 seats with 38%. The BJP is expected to secure 1–4 seats, with projections also subject to a ±3% margin of error.

For Assam, the BJP+ alliance is predicted to maintain a clear lead, winning 82–94 seats with a 44% vote share. The INC+ alliance is projected to follow with 30–40 seats and 38% votes, while others may secure 1–5 seats. These projections are based on exit poll data with an error margin of ±3%.

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: PMARQ exit polls predict BJP is set to win 150–170 seats in the 2026 Assembly elections.

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Exit polls are surveys carried out immediately after voters cast their ballots, with the aim of predicting the outcome of an assembly or parliamentary election. Unlike opinion polls, which are conducted before voting begins, exit polls take place once people have already voted. Media organisations and survey agencies collect responses from a diverse sample of voters, across age groups, genders, castes, and regions, asking whom they supported. However, it’s important to note that exit poll predictions are not always accurate and have frequently missed the actual results.

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: West Bengal continues to demonstrate exceptional electoral engagement, with the state recording a massive voter turnout of 89.99% by 5:00 PM today.

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Polling for the Assembly elections in Kerala, Assam and Puducherry was held in a single phase on April 9, while Tamil Nadu voted in one phase on April 23. In West Bengal, voting is being conducted in two phases, the first was held on April 23, and the second phase is underway on Wednesday.

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Several prominent leaders are in the fray across 126 constituencies in Assam:

• Himanta Biswa Sarma, the incumbent Chief Minister, is seeking re-election from the Jalukbari constituency, which he has represented for five consecutive terms since 2021.
• Gaurav Gogoi, the state Congress president and son of former CM Tarun Gogoi, contested from Jorhat against sitting BJP MLA Hitendra Nath Goswami.
• Akhil Gogoi, president of Raijor Dal, is also a key contender, contesting from the Sibsagar constituency.

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: In West Bengal, the primary battle is between the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). While the Congress and the Left alliance are also contesting, analysts largely view the election as a direct fight between the TMC and the BJP.

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: In 2021, exit polls correctly projected wins for the BJP in Assam and the DMK in Tamil Nadu. However, they significantly overestimated the BJP’s prospects in West Bengal, where the TMC went on to secure a decisive victory.