Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results 2026 Updates: Stalin To Return As CM? Pollsters Predict Big Win For DMK, Vijay's TVK A Distant Third

Tamil Nadu Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE: According to the predictions of five exit polls, the DMK is set to win an average of 120 seats in Tamil Nadu, while the AIADMK is predicted to claim victory in 78 seats. TVK is likely to get 33 seats. 
 

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: In a sharp contrast to most other pollsters who have predicted a DMK victory in Tamil Nadu, Axis My India's exit poll has projected the TVK as the single largest party. While other agencies have given the DMK-led alliance a clear edge, Axis My India forecasts TVK to win 98-120 seats, followed closely by DMK with 92-110 seats, while AIADMK lags far behind at just 22-32 seats. 

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: Lawyer and political analyst M R Venkatesh said that the DMK definitely has an edge because of its superior ground power.

"DMK definitely has an edge because of its superior ground power," stated lawyer and political analyst M R Venkatesh.

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: According to predictions from Chanakya Strategies, DMK and its allies may win 145-160 seats, AIADMK is projected to win 50-65 seats, while other parties may secure 5-8 seats.

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: While most pollsters predict victory for the DMK-led alliance, JVC has projected a contrasting outcome, forecasting the AIADMK to cross the majority mark by winning 128 to 147 seats. 

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: According to exit poll predictions, as shown by Matrize, the DMK-led alliance is headed for a clear win in Tamil Nadu as it predicted to clinch victory in 122 to 132 seats. The AIADMK+ is predicted to win 87 to 100 seats.

According to Matrize, DMK and its allies are projected to win a 40.3% share of votes, while AIADMK is predicted to win 37.1% of votes.

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: According to Matrize, DMK and its allies are projected to get 40.3% share of votes; AIADMK and its allies are predicted to win 37.1% votes.

As per P-Marq, the DMK-led allies are set to get a 36% vote share, and its AIADMK allies are predicted to get 31% votes.

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: According to exit poll projections by P-Marq, the DMK-led alliance is poised for a lead in Tamil Nadu, with an estimated vote share of 36% and a projected tally of 125 to 145 seats in the 234-member Assembly.

The AIADMK-led alliance is expected to follow with around 65 to 85 seats.

Meanwhile, actor Vijay’s TVK is predicted to make a notable entry with a 23% vote share and 16 to 26 seats. 

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: The exit poll results for Tamil Nadu will be out at any moment now. Who will win in Tamil Nadu? 

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: Tamil Nadu’s political landscape has long been dominated by Dravidian parties, with power alternating between the DMK and AIADMK for nearly four decades. However, the entry of actor-turned-politician Vijay and his party Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) has added a new dimension to the contest, especially among younger voters.

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: The Tamil Nadu Assembly elections are witnessing a high-stakes contest primarily between the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK)-led alliance and the opposition All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) front, with several other parties also in the fray.
The DMK has positioned Udhayanidhi Stalin as the face of its next-generation leadership, signalling a shift towards younger representation.

The party is contesting 164 out of the total 234 constituencies and has introduced several new candidates, particularly in seats it failed to secure in the 2021 elections.

As part of its alliance, the DMK has allotted 10 seats to the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK), led by Premalatha Vijayakanth.
AIADMK, BJP and others in the fray

The AIADMK is contesting 172 seats, aiming to reclaim power, with strong focus on its traditional support base, especially in the western belt of the state.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), as part of the alliance, has been allotted 33 seats, while the Amma Makkal Munnetra Kazhagam (AMMK), led by TTV Dhinakaran, is contesting 11 seats.

The Pattali Makkal Katchi (PMK), however, is witnessing internal divisions, which could impact its electoral performance.
Meanwhile, both the BJP and Kamal Haasan’s Makkal Needhi Maiam are attempting to make inroads into DMK’s stronghold, particularly in Chennai.

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: Several prominent leaders are contesting in this election, making it a closely watched battle across constituencies.

• Chief Minister MK Stalin is contesting from Kolathur, while AIADMK leader Edappadi K Palaniswami is in the fray from Edappadi.
• Actor-politician Vijay is contesting from Perambur and Tiruchirappalli (East), marking his significant electoral debut.
• Naam Tamilar Katchi (NTK) leader Seeman is contesting from Karaikudi, adding further interest to the electoral landscape.
   

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: Exit poll forecasts will be accessible through multiple mediums, from traditional TV news broadcasts to the digital sites and social media feeds of major polling agencies. Arnab Goswami and team stand ready to simplify the data as the 2026 exit poll storm hits tonight. You can watch the live updates for exit polls on 
 

• Republic World Website- https://www.republicworld.com/
• Republic World YouTube Channel- https://www.youtube.com/@RepublicWorld
• Viewers can also tune into X Profile for latest news updates- https://x.com/republic
• Leading agencies- including P-MARQ and Matrize, in collaboration with Republic- will also share exit poll updates.

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2026 LIVE: The Election Commission has established a strict timeframe prohibiting the publication of voter surveys. Under these guidelines, media outlets are barred from conducting or broadcasting exit polls from 7:00 am on April 9, 2026, until the restriction lifts at 6:30 pm on April 29, 2026.

Reinforcing the importance of the blackout, the Commission stated that legal repercussions for non-compliance include potential jail time of up to two years and financial penalties. As per Election Commission rules, exit poll projections will be released after 6:30 pm on April 29.