Haryana Exit Poll: Anxious wait for Captain Abhimanyu, BJP in Narnaund

The Haryana polls have just ended and the Republic-Jan ki Baat exit poll has provided an on-the-ground snapshot of what to expect on the counting day as the Haryana Assembly election results are announced. The survey was done using Jan Ki Baat Probability Map Of Outcome model (PMOO) which is backed by issue wise location matrix. The sample is geo-strategically selected through purposive sampling with weighted consideration to caste, and demography factors. These factors are taken into consideration while selecting the sample and the polling booth data is collected through a network of verified field investigators and data analysts.

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No clear projection

The Jan ki Baat exit polls have concluded that in the Harayana Assembly polls in the Narnaund seat, the projection is still not clear and the decision is too close to call. BJP's Captain Abhimanyu has not been able to attract the voters in a manner that would give him the edge over the INC, INLD candidates, and others. 

In the 2014 assembly elections, Captain Abhimanyu won the Narnaund seat by defeating Saroj Mor of the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD). Saroj Mor and INC's Ram Kumar have contested the seats on multiple previous occasions. The Narnaund seat has not had an MLA retain his seat for a long time now, and thus the record is against Captain Abhimanyu.

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State predictions

Haryana's 90 seats are projected to see the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) return to power with a majority in the state. The exit poll projects that the BJP is expected to win 52-63 seats, the INC is expected to win 15-19 seats, the JJP is expected to win 5-9 seats while the Independent candidates and smaller parties are expected to win 7-9 seats. The BJP is likely to get the highest vote share with 56% of the votes, followed by the INC with 18%, INLD 7%, JJP 10%, and Other parties and candidates are likely to win 9% of the votes.

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