The Haryana polls have just ended and the Republic-Jan ki Baat Exit Polls have conducted an on-the-ground exit poll survey to understand the voting preference of the public in the Haryana Assembly polls. The survey is done using the Jan Ki Baat Probability Map Of Outcome model (PMOO) which is backed by issue wise location matrix. The sample is geo-strategically selected through purposive sampling with weighted consideration to caste, and demography factors. These factors are taken into consideration while selecting the sample and the polling booth Data is collected through a network of verified field investigators and data analysts.
The Republic-Jan ki Baat Exit Poll on Monday has concluded that in the Harayana Assembly polls, Ghanshyam Saraf is projected to retain his Bhiwani seat defeating Amit Balmiki of the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), Amar Singh of the Indian National Congress (INC) and Nirmala Saraf of the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD).
In the 2014 Assembly elections, Saraf won the elections by a comfortable margin and the same is expected to be repeated in the counting of the votes for the 2019 Assembly elections. He had won the 2009 assembly elections as well.
Haryana's 90 seats will see the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) return to power with a majority in the State. The exit poll projects that the BJP is projected to win 52-63 seats, the INC is expected to win 15-19 seats, the JJP is expected to win 5-9 seats while the Independent candidates and smaller parties are likely to win 7-9 seats. The BJP is likely to get the highest vote share with 56% of the votes, followed by the INC with 18%, INLD 7%, JJP 10%, and other parties and candidates are likely to win 9% of the votes.