With the dates for the all-important Lok Sabha polls now announced, the various political parties and the citizens of India have complete clarity on exactly when the country will once again undertake the largest exercise in democracy anywhere in the world.
To present a snapshot projection of where the various parties stand at the moment in different states, Republic TV and CVoter have published the National Approval Ratings which present a complete picture of what would happen if elections are held today.
The months preceding the latest National Approval Ratings have witnessed a number of massive developments that may have a big impact on the on-ground sentiment as the phase-wise voting approaches. A parallel CVoter survey has already indicated that citizens' satisfaction with the performance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been on an upswing since the Feb 1 budget where a number of significant announcements were made - especially for farmers and for middle-class taxpayers. This satisfaction index the skyrocketed following India's air-strike against Pakistani terror bases across the LoC. Simultaneously, the satisfaction index of Congress president Rahul Gandhi has spiralled downward in the same time-frame.
As per the survey, BJP is likely to win the solo seat in Puducherry.
NDA (BJP): 43.9%
UPA (INC): 38.2%
This is in stark contrast to the previous editions of the survey held in December and January where the numbers showed that UPA was likely to win the polls
During the Lok Sabha elections of 2014, BJP won the seat in the state. Congress had secured 26.3% of vote share, 37.6% was grabbed by BJP and 8.2% by DMK.
Projections for January:
In Puducherry, where only one seat is up for grabs, the projection for January was that UPA would win.
Vote share projection for the Union Territory is that UPA would win 49.7% and NDA would win 14.7%. Others would win 35.6%
Projections for December:
Seat Share -
According to the National Approval Rating projections, Congress was predicted to grab that seat leaving none for BJP.
During the Lok Sabha elections of 2014, BJP won the seat in the state
Vote Share -
Whereas, Congress was projected to secure 40.8% of vote shares, followed by 27.8% for Others, 17.5% for BJP and 13.8% for DMK
In 2014, Congress secured 26.3% of vote share, 37.6% was grabbed by BJP and 8.2% by DMK