Politics

National Approval Ratings: NDA Likely To Bag 9 Out Of 14 Seats In Assam, UPA Far Behind With 4 Seats

Written By Daamini Sharma | Mumbai | Published:

With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on November 1, 2018. While there are 14 seats up for grabs in Assam, the projection looks like this:

  • 9 of the 14 are slated to swing the NDA way, 4 are to swing the UPA way and one to swing the AIUDF way.
  • While overall it seems like a complete status quo from the September 2018 predictions in terms of seat share the very fact that the BJP has been able to hold on to 45.2% of the vote share and 9 out of the 14 seats in Assam despite the national discourse moving away from NRC, is a significant achievement for Amit Shah, Himanta Biswa Sarma and Sarbananda Sonowal.
  • Considering the fact that Assam is slated to take its tally vis-a-vis the BJP to 8 which is higher than what the state recorded in 2014 (7) is there a surety that this 9  of 14 figure will swell once the PM hits the ground for campaigning?
  • While the Congress could have benefitted from exploiting any anti-incumbency at the state and centre level at Assam, given the fact that Rahul Gandhi’s 3 seat tally has gone up to only 4 in 4 years of Modi rule
  • Undoubtedly the biggest loser in it all has to be the AIUDF whose tally of 3 seats has now dived to 1

Read: National Approval Ratings LIVE: In Electorally Critical November, Will BJP, Congress Or Mahagathbandhan Win If General Elections Are Held Today? All Predictions From The Biggest Poll Here 

2018 has been a blockbuster year so far as far as the political landscape of India is concerned. With the countdown to the all-important 2019 Lok Sabha polls on, and with critical assembly elections in five states due in the next few weeks, November may just be the most important month in terms of deciding who will come up trumps in the general elections. Even as the Prime Minister dedicated the world's tallest statue -- the Statue of Unity -- to the nation on the 143rd birth anniversary of Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel, and a few days before that, commemorated Subhash Chandra Bose and the 75th anniversary of the Azad Hind Government, a massive war of words was triggered over appropriation of freedom icons. Additionally, the Supreme Court has delayed its hearings in the Ayodhya dispute, and will only decide in January when the hearings will take place. This has caused many among the pro-Mandir bent-of-mind, including the RSS, VHP and Hindu Mahasabha, to push the government to do whatever it can to build the Ram Mandir, with an ordinance on the matter the most frequently stated solution. In the last month has seen heated polemics over the events at the CBI, with the government acting on the CVC's recommendation to send the two top-most officers at India's premier investigative agency -- Rakesh Asthana and Alok Verma -- on leave after they had both accused the other of corruption.

The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.

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