The Lok Sabha elections are less than five months away, and the mood in each state of the country is buzzing with speculations on how parties will fare there.
Republic TV, in association with CVoter, has released the National Approval Ratings to get a snapshot of the mood of the nation and answer the question: What would happen if results were held today?
The numbers for Tripura are out for the month of January.
Vote share for the state:
NDA is projected to win 45.1% vote share while the UPA is projected to win 2.8%.
The CPM is likely to win 32.6% and others will get 19.6 % vote share.
Seat share for the state:
NDA is likely to win all the 2 seats leaving the CPM with zero seats.
In 2014, the CPI(M) won both the seats in the state with an overwhelming vote share of 64 percent. But things have changed significantly since then, so much so that they are projected to end up empty-handed this time around, with a vote share of a mere 32.8 percent, almost half of what they got in 2014.
The biggest benefactor of their fall is BJP. They are projected to win both the seats, and improve their vote share from 5.7 percent to 44.8 percent, a gigantic rise in the space of four and a half years.
Congress was barely in the picture in 2014, and the case is same for the 2019.
In December, BJP was likely to win both the seats with an massive vote share. Their dominance was so apparent that the CPI(M), which had 64 percent vote share and both the seats in 2014, will be relegated to half in terms of votes and nil in terms of seats.
In October, it was projected that there would be a direct shift in votes of CPI(M) to BJP. What was more heartening for the BJP was that the NDA was taking its tally of 5.7% of the vote to a whopping 50.7% of the vote-share all by itself and without any regional ally crutch. CPI(M) were relegated to 31.4 percent votes, with Congress-led UPA coming way behind in third with 13.5 percent.
Similar pattern could be witnessed in the November edition of National Approval Ratings, with the seat-share remaining the same, and only difference being in terms of vote-share.
(The results of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.)