With the Lok Sabha elections less than five months away, Republic TV has released the National Approval Ratings which captures the mood of the nation if the elections were to take place in December. In 2014, the NDA had bagged all the five seats in the states. It had got 56.3% of the votes, whereas the UPA had got 34.1% of the votes. Others had received 10.6% of the vote share.
The December ratings hold the NDA in the same position with all five seats in its pocket. The predictions for vote-share remains sunny for the NDA as it predicts it to win 49.7%, the UPA to win 33.1 % and others to win 17.3%. The predictions are noteworthy as the BJP has double anti-incumbency in the state.
The NDA is projected to lose a significant amount of its vote share since the 2014 polls, while the UPA is projected to lose a whole percentage since its previous Lok Sabha polls.
The November ratings had predicted the NDA’s vote share to be 49.8% and UPA's will be 33%, and others to win 17.3% of the votes.
As per the National Approval Ratings, in November the NDA stood to win all five seats. The ratings for October too had predicted the same.
The vote share for UPA in that month was 31.7%, while that for NDA was 48. 5% while for others it remained 19.9%.
2018 has been a blockbuster year so far as far as the political landscape of India is concerned. While the BJP lost in three key states of the Hindi heartland - Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, during the assembly polls, the National Approval Ratings shows a steady gain for NDA in vote-share and a consistent five seat win in the state.
Out of 4 states, which went to polls this year, BJP has its government on its own in Tripura and with alliance partners in two states, namely, Meghalaya (with National People’s Party), Nagaland (with Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party), whereas the Congress managed to form government in Karnataka with JDS as its alliance partner.
The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.