Politics

National Approval Ratings: Stalin's DMK Likely To Sweep 29 Out Of 39 Seats In Tamil Nadu Leaving AIADMK, NDA & UPA Far Behind

Written By Daamini Sharma | Mumbai | Published:

With the Lok Sabha elections 2019 inching closer, Republic TV and CVoter have presented the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held on November 1, 2018.  A dramatic shift in terms of the national representation from Tamil Nadu is on the cards. Here's the projection for the state: 

  • 39 seats up for grabs in Tamil Nadu and the majority still seems to be going handsomely, with the DMK which is slated to get 29 out of 39 seats.
  • The AIADMK is slated to get 9 seats
  • The BJP is slated to get a single seat
  • COMPARISON WITH OCTOBER, 2018: Let us take a look at the national Approval Ratings for Tamil Nadu on a month on month basis:

  • However, the story when compared with last month seems to be shifting more in terms of vote share than seat share
  • While the AIADMK has managed to not change its seat share projection in the last month, it has increased its vote share by 10.5% which seems to be a significant jump in 30 days
  • Similarly, the others might not have opened there seat share tally but the vote shares have gone up by 13.2% in the last month
  • The DMK which has gained 18.5% of the vote share since its 2014 performance has seen an additional jump of 4.2%  from its previous month projection. In other words, the story is that all regional parties are steaming in to hit the ground in their campaigning
  • Historically, a 29 seat tally for the DMK means that it is the parties best performance ever 
  • Should the AIADMK get 9 seats it would be the exacting performance recorded by Jayalalitha in 2009

Read: National Approval Ratings LIVE: In Electorally Critical November, Will BJP, Congress Or Mahagathbandhan Win If General Elections Are Held Today? All Predictions From The Biggest Poll Here

2018 has been a blockbuster year so far as far as the political landscape of India is concerned. With the countdown to the all-important 2019 Lok Sabha polls on, and with critical assembly elections in five states due in the next few weeks, November may just be the most important month in terms of deciding who will come up trumps in the general elections. Even as the Prime Minister dedicated the world's tallest statue -- the Statue of Unity -- to the nation on the 143rd birth anniversary of Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel, and a few days before that, commemorated Subhash Chandra Bose and the 75th anniversary of the Azad Hind Government, a massive war of words was triggered over appropriation of freedom icons. Additionally, the Supreme Court has delayed its hearings in the Ayodhya dispute, and will only decide in January when the hearings will take place. This has caused many among the pro-Mandir bent-of-mind, including the RSS, VHP and Hindu Mahasabha, to push the government to do whatever it can to build the Ram Mandir, with an ordinance on the matter the most frequently stated solution. In the last month has seen heated polemics over the events at the CBI, with the government acting on the CVC's recommendation to send the two top-most officers at India's premier investigative agency -- Rakesh Asthana and Alok Verma -- on leave after they had both accused the other of corruption.

The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.

 

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