Ahead of the Assembly polls, which will be held in 2019, Republic TV, in association with CVoter, has come with the National Approval Ratings to bring forward the mood of the nation in the present time. The Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) is presently in power in the centre, as well as 21 states, either alone or through a coalition of NDA.
In Andhra Pradesh, there are total of 25 seats to grab, and the contest is expected to be between Jagmohan Reddy's YSRCP and N. Chandrababu Naidu's TDP, with Congress and BJP expected to be outsiders.
But if the National Approval Ratings is to go by, then it will be a huge majority by YSRCP, which is expected to win 21 seats. On the other hand, TDP, who had won 15 seats in 2014, is being predicted to manage only 4 seats this time around. The bigwigs, Congress and BJP, who had just 2 seats, between them in 2014, both won by BJP, are being predicted to draw blank.
In 2014, NDA had 17 seats, with 15 of those won by TDP and 2 by BJP. But since then, the alliance between the two has ended, meaning the two parties will fight the elections on their own in 2019.
But whatsoever may happen, BJP looks set to draw blank, even though their vote share, 6.9% in 2014, is set to increase to 12.5%. As for their main rivals Congress, their vote share of 2.9% in 2014 will shoot up to 7.2%, though, it won't earn them any seat.
The biggest loser from this would be TDP. From 17 seats to 4, Chandrababu Naidu's party's vote share will also drop from 40.8% to 31.4%. And in contrary, YSRCP, whose vote share will also drop from 45.4% to 41.9%, will see its vote share rise from 8 to 21, easily making it the single largest party in the state.
So it looks a clear cut win for YSRCP, with TDP well behind and BJP, Congress nowhere near.
(The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.)