Updated 5 January 2026 at 11:09 IST

Venezuela in Focus, but Global Markets Shrug Off Geopolitical Jitters

Venezuela has emerged as the key geopolitical risk, but global markets remain largely unfazed. US stock futures and Asian equities are higher, with Japan, South Korea and Taiwan rising over 2%, while gold and silver are also gaining. Oil prices have been volatile but are currently flat to negative. Markets appear to have quickly priced in geopolitical developments and shifted focus back to fundamentals.

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Venezuela has emerged as the key geopolitical risk, but global markets remain largely unfazed. | Image: Freepik

Venezuela is the headline risk this morning, but global markets are shrugging off the weekend action . US stock futures are up, Asian stock markets are up, and Gold and Silver are rising. Japan , South Korea, and Taiwan are all up more than 2%. Oil has been making two-way moves, starting lower, then going up, and at the time of writing, is flat to negative.

The markets are showing the classic reaction, where geopolitical developments are factored in quickly, and markets move back to underlying fundamentals after quickly discounting these . Venezuela has external loans of $ 150 bn and defaulted outstanding bonds at $60 bn. The Venezuela normalisation and resolution trade could be the biggest Emerging markets trade of the next decade. For now, the focus will be on how the political dispensation changes.

The focus this week will be on three key US economic data: the December payrolls data, the manufacturing and services growth, and the job openings data.

Indian markets surged on Friday to all-time records with FPIs turning net buyers. The outlook is positive this morning with Asian shares up and Indian Gift Nifty futures indicating a gap-up opening. This would build on Friday's momentum.

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Also read: How US Takeover of Venezuela is Likely To Settle India's $1B Debt

Published By : Shourya Jha

Published On: 5 January 2026 at 11:09 IST