Apr 11, 2025
Khushi RawatIs The World Heading Into Recession?
The global market has been grappling with fears of a potential recession after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a series of reciprocal tariffs. Here are 10 unusual economic indicators that can help predict a recession, offering quirky insights into market trends.
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Japanese Haircut Indicator
Studies and research have been conducted for over 20+ years and have found changes in Japanese grooming habits. When the economy is doing well, women are likely to cut their hair short when there is a slump.
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Men's Underwear Indicator
According to the men's underwear indicator index, it has been observed that there is a decline in men's underwear when the economy is suffering a slump. This index can detect the relative health of the economy.
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Lipstick Indicator
The term lipstick, coined by Leonard Lauder in the 2001 recession, indicated that women turn to affordable beauty products as a treat in uncertain economic environments. It has reoccurred today as the beauty market's 'clean girl' aesthetic.
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First Date Indicator
First Date Indicators emphasize the number of attempts people make to get into a relationship. This phenomenon was studied in the 2008, US recession when there was increased traffic in dating and matchmaking apps. Reportedly, it is a response to depression in an economic slump.
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Garbage Indicator
Due to the economic recession, consumption decreased, which led to less garbage and waste generation. It is the epitome of recessive markets.
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R-Word Index
The R-word Index means the number of times the word recession appears in the news, proving the ongoing or spur of economic recession in the market.
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Champagne Index
The index points at market sentiments. The popping open champagne bottle theory is associated with good times and a rising economy. A decrease in luxury goods and premium goods leads to a recession in the market.
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Hemline Index
The length of the hemline of skirts indicates the rise or fall along with stock prices. The skirts get shorter in good times and longer in bad economic states.
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Guns to Caviar Indicators
This indicator compares two categories. First worldwide fighter jets to business jets. Simply, it compares uncertain economic market conditions with military wealth creation.
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Cardboard Boxes
This index indicates how cardboard is a reliable and accurate indicator of economic performance. When the economy is stable, there is more cardboard output for packaging. However, when the economy is recessive, the production of cardboard boxes declines.
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