With the dates for the all-important Lok Sabha polls now announced to take place in seven phases, the various political parties and the citizens of India have complete clarity on exactly when the country will once again undertake the largest exercise in democracy anywhere in the world. To present a snapshot projection of where the various parties stand at the moment in different states, Republic TV and CVoter have published the National Approval Ratings which present a complete picture of what would happen if elections are held today.
As per the National Approval Ratings, the BJP is predicted to gain the solo seat the same way the party did in 2014 Lok Sabha polls:
While the BJP has been winning the Andaman seat ever since 2009, the INC last won the seat in 2004 and its present projection of getting 37.1 % of the votes mean that Rahul Gandhi's party, in Andaman and Nicobar has consistently declined in terms of vote shares.
In both January and December predictions in Andaman and Nicobar, NDA was predicted to grab the sole seat, leaving UPA empty handed in the island state.
The months preceding the latest National Approval Ratings have witnessed a number of massive developments that may have a big impact on the on-ground sentiment as the phase-wise voting approaches. A parallel CVoter survey has already indicated that citizens' satisfaction with the performance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been on an upswing since the Feb 1 budget where a number of significant announcements were made - especially for farmers and for middle-class taxpayers. This satisfaction index the skyrocketed following India's air-strike against Pakistani terror bases across the LoC. Simultaneously, the satisfaction index of Congress president Rahul Gandhi has spiralled downward in the same time-frame.