With the dates for the all-important Lok Sabha polls now announced, the various political parties and the citizens of India have complete clarity on exactly when the country will once again undertake the largest exercise in democracy anywhere in the world. To present a snapshot projection of where the various parties stand at the moment in different states, Republic TV and CVoter have published the National Approval Ratings which present a complete picture of what would happen if elections are held today.
With 25 seats in its kitty, here is the projection for the state of Andhra Pradesh:
January prediction: The National Approval rating projects that YSRCP will grab 19 seats, while the TDP is projected to get 6 seats.
December prediction: The 25-seat state of Andhra Pradesh was predicted to give the highest seat-share to Jaganmohan Reddy's YSRCP with the Chandrababu Naidu-led TDP and Rahul Gandhi-led INC alliance coming a close second.
November projection: Naidu's TDP was significantly reduced to 5 seats while Jagan Reddy's YSRCP emerged as the single largest party while predicted to secure 20 seats in the state. BJP and INC(which was not in alliance with TDP until November) were projected to secure no seats.
October prediction: YSRCP was projected to win 21, which has fallen to 14 in December, while TDP had received 4 seats which have now increased to 8, in alliance with Congress which had lost the state majoritarily comparing to December where it is predicted to secure 3 seats.
The months preceding the latest National Approval Ratings have witnessed a number of massive developments that may have a big impact on the on-ground sentiment as the phase-wise voting approaches. A parallel CVoter survey has already indicated that citizens' satisfaction with the performance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been on an upswing since the Feb 1 budget where a number of significant announcements were made - especially for farmers and for middle-class taxpayers. This satisfaction index the skyrocketed following India's air-strike against Pakistani terror bases across the LoC. Simultaneously, the satisfaction index of Congress president Rahul Gandhi has spiralled downward in the same time-frame.