National Approval Ratings: Comparisons And Projections Show The BJP Has Reasons To Worry In These States In The 2019 Fight

Written By Aishwaria Sonavane | Mumbai | Published:


  • BJP is predicted to fall in seven states including- Uttar Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Punjab, Jharkhand , Maharshtra, Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh compared to 2014 Lok Sabha elections
  • In the National Approval Ratings in December, BJP has faced a major shift in balance

According to the National Approval Ratings, the predictions for the month of December shows BJP failing in the momentum game, ahead of the Lok Sabha elections 2019. Drawing a comparison between the results of the 2014 elections and the numbers projected on December 24, here is the result. 

Fall in Uttar Pradesh

As per the December projections, BJP-led NDA's figures in alliance with Apna Dal are predicted to fall massively down from 73 to just 28 seats.  Out of 80 seats, the NDA will get a vote share of 42.8% with a seat share of 28 seats and within it, 27 to the BJP and 1 to the Apna Dal.

Fall in Chhattisgarh

After losing the Assembly elections to Congress in the state,  as per the latest projections of the Lok Sabha 2019, the BJP, which got 10 seats in 2014, is predicted to go down by 5 seats to settle at a 5 seat number, with a vote share of 40.5% for BJP-led NDA alliance.  

READ| National Approval Ratings: In Punjab, Congress Projected For Rout As BJP, SAD And AAP Relegated To One Seat Altogether

Fall in Punjab

After winning the Assembly elections last year, Congress will repeat its performance in Lok Sabha election as well. As per the predictions, Congress will grab 12 out of 13 seats, leaving none for BJP, but the NDA ally, SAD is projected to gain one seat. The scenario has changed drastically from 2014 where the BJP, in alliance with SAD, won six seats and was the biggest party in the state in 2014.

Fall in Jharkhand

The BJP is projected to get a 41.8% vote share and 5 seat tally. The BJP has seen a consistent decline from 12 seats in 2014, to a projected 8 seats in October and then coming further down to 6 seats in November. Now, NDA has fallen down to 5 seat tally.

Fall in Maharashtra

The present ruling party in the state, BJP, was predicted gain in the previous two National Approval Ratings in the month of October and November. However, it has witnessed a major shift in balance in terms of seat share in the month of December.  The UPA alliance has been projected to win 30 seats, leaving the BJP well behind with just 16 seats. Back in 2014, BJP acquired 42 seats with their ally. 

Fall in Karnataka

In a massive blow, according to the predictions of National Approval Ratings of this month, in comparison to 2014, the BJP is down two seats from the 17 that it got in 2014. n the November edition of the National Approval Ratings, BJP-led NDA, despite not being in power in the state, was projected for a comfortable win with 18 seats.

READ| National Approval Ratings: In Uttar Pradesh, Big Gains Projected For SP-BSP Alliance Even As NDA's Seat-share Projected To Dwindle

Fall in Andhra Pradesh

BJP is projected to fall to a massive loss with no seats won and only 11% vote share. Taking a look at the predictions of the National Approval Ratings, the 25-seat state of Andhra Pradesh is predicted to give the highest seat-share to Jaganmohan Reddy's YSRCP with the Chandrababu Naidu-led TDP and Rahul Gandhi-led INC alliance coming a close second.
The results of 2019 Lok Sabha elections may or may not reflect the results or scenarios of the state assembly elections, nevertheless, to establish where we stand at present, Republic TV and CVoter has presented the National Approval Ratings.