With the 2019 Lok Sabha elections looming ever larger, the political scenario in the country is currently in a state of flux, with parties desperately figuring out seat-sharing terms, snubbing or accepting each other with respect to alliances, or fielding their big names in various states. Republic TV and CVoter are back with the National Approval Ratings to give a complete national picture as to who will win if polls are held today. With 39 seats, Tamil Nadu is expected to play a pivotal role in the political scene for the formation of the next government. While the DMK has confirmed to come in alliance with the Congress party, and it is expected to have a huge impact in the politics.
Here's the prediction for Tamil Nadu:
The Congress-DMK alliance is predicted clean sweep in the state, while NDA and AIADMK are projected for a massive loss. All 39 seats are projected to go into the bag of UPA (30 for DMK and 9 for Congress), in a scenario which happened in the last edition of the National Approval Ratings.
While AIADMK is predicted to win a vote share of 21.3 percent, it is projected to lose all seats in the state, while BJP-led NDA is predicted to win only at 6.7 percent of votes and zero seats. Others are predicted to get 27.8 percent votes.
UPA: 39 seats
NDA: 0 seats
In December's edition, the alliance of DMK and Congress was projected to win, leaving the NDA and AIADMK biting the dust. All the 39 seats were projected to be won by the UPA (30 for DMK and 9 for Congress), and despite the AIADMK and BJP winning 26.4 and 9.5 per cent votes respectively, they were expected to come empty-handed.
The projection for Tamil Nadu in the previous edition of November of the National Approval Ratings was nearly the same. DMK was projected to add one more seat to their tally at the expense of BJP, which meant the former would win 29 seats and the latter winning just one seat. The other parties' seat-share remained the same.
The election year 2019 started off with India’s opposition appearing largely unwilling to acquiesce to Rahul Gandhi's proposal of the Congress serving as a platform for regional parties to come together in order to defeat the BJP. Despite the Congress successes in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, in Uttar Pradesh, the much-heralded Mahagathbandhan turned out to just be a 'Gathbandhan' as old enemies Akhilesh Yadav and Mayawati left the Congress out, forming an SP-BSP alliance. Left on its own, the Congress resolved to contest every one of the state's 80 seats and proceeded to formally induct Priyanka Gandhi Vadra into the party, appointing her and Jyotiraditya Scindia as General Secretaries for Uttar Pradesh. Elsewhere, former Gujarat CM Shankarsinh Vaghela is to join the NCP, while the Congress alliance with the TDP in Andhra Pradesh is also in doubt. Meanwhile, the BJP and Shiv Sena may have witnessed a thaw in their relationship with the Maharashtra government sanctioning Rs 100 crore for a Balasaheb Thackeray memorial.
On issues concerning large numbers of people, the government passed a constitutional amendment giving a green signal to provide 10 percent reservation in jobs and educational institutions to economically weaker sections in the general category, while numerous agrarian schemes that needn't necessarily be farm-loan waivers have also been spoken of in the lead-up to the Modi government's final budget.