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Exit Poll Predictions: BJP Set To Sweep West Bengal & Assam; DMK+ Holds Tamil Nadu, Cong-led UDF Poised To Unseat Vijayan In Kerala

The 2026 Verdict: Arnab's Poll of Polls decodes West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala & Puducherry exit polls, who will win, next CM predictions, seat share and key trends.

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Arnab Goswami’s Poll of Polls, Who Will Win in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala & Puducherry? | Image: Republic

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Stay tuned with Republic’s biggest coverage of exit polls that is likely to give some sneak-peek into the all-important May 4 election results. For now, the Republic team-led by Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami is bringing you the poll of polls from different pollsters across the five states. 

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The final phase of voting in West Bengal suggests almost 90% voter turnout, making it a record. Republic will bring you LIVE analysis of Exit Polls from – Axis My India, Today’s Chanakya, Matrize, PMARQ and JVC Poll from West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala and Puducherry.

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29 April 2026 at 19:28 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Axis My India predicts strong victory for NDA in Assam

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Axis My India predicts 88-100 for NDA, 24-36 for INDI in Assam

 

29 April 2026 at 19:21 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Matrize Exit Polls Predicts UDF Leading in Keralam with a Minor Lead over LDF

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Matrize exit polls predicts UDF leading with 70-75 seats in Keralam

 

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29 April 2026 at 19:14 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: P-Marq Exit Polls Shows UDF Leading in Keralam

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: P-Marq exit polls shows UDF leading in Keralam with 71-79 seats, BJP holding 1-4 seats. 

 

29 April 2026 at 19:08 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Matrize Exit Polls Predicts DMK alliance leading with 122-132 seats

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Matrize Exit polls shows DMK Alliance leading with 122-132 seats, where AIADMK+ having projected seats of 87-100. 

 

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29 April 2026 at 19:00 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: P-Marq Predicts DMK Edge in Tamil Nadu

P-Marq exit polls shows a strong sweep by the DMK Alliance with a seat prediction of 125-145 with a vote share of 36%. Whereas the AIADMK+ gets a prediction of 65-85 seats.  

 

 

29 April 2026 at 18:49 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Matrize Exit Poll Sees Tight Race, BJP Edge Over TMC in Bengal

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Matrize exit poll projections for the 2026 West Bengal Assembly elections indicate a tight contest, with the BJP projected to secure 146–161 seats and a vote share of 42.5%, while the TMC+ alliance is estimated to win 125–140 seats with 40.8% votes. Others are expected to get 6–10 seats with a 16.7% vote share. The projections, based on a survey conducted between April 23 and April 29 with a sample size of 68,750, carry a margin of error of ±3%.


 

29 April 2026 at 18:48 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: P-MARQ Exit Polls Show BJP Lead in Bengal, DMK+ Ahead in TN, Tight Race in Kerala

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: According to polling agency PMARQ exit polls predictions, the BJP is set to win 150–170 seats in the 2026 Assembly elections.

P-MARQ’s exit poll projections for the 2026 Assembly elections suggest a strong lead for DMK+ in Tamil Nadu, with 125–145 seats and a 36% vote share. ADMK+ is projected to secure 65–85 seats with 31% votes, while TVK may win 16–26 seats with a 23% vote share. The estimates carry an error margin of ±3%.

In Kerala, the race appears closely contested. The UDF is projected to win 71–79 seats with a 39% vote share, narrowly ahead of the LDF at 62–69 seats with 38%. The BJP is expected to secure 1–4 seats, with projections also subject to a ±3% margin of error.

For Assam, the BJP+ alliance is predicted to maintain a clear lead, winning 82–94 seats with a 44% vote share. The INC+ alliance is projected to follow with 30–40 seats and 38% votes, while others may secure 1–5 seats. These projections are based on exit poll data with an error margin of ±3%.

 


 

29 April 2026 at 18:50 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: PMARQ Exit Polls Predicts BJP Set To Win With 150-170 Seats in West Bengal

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: PMARQ exit polls predict BJP is set to win 150–170 seats in the 2026 Assembly elections.

29 April 2026 at 18:13 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: What is the process of Exit Poll Conducted?

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Exit polls are surveys carried out immediately after voters cast their ballots, with the aim of predicting the outcome of an assembly or parliamentary election. Unlike opinion polls, which are conducted before voting begins, exit polls take place once people have already voted. Media organisations and survey agencies collect responses from a diverse sample of voters, across age groups, genders, castes, and regions, asking whom they supported. However, it’s important to note that exit poll predictions are not always accurate and have frequently missed the actual results.

29 April 2026 at 17:57 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: 90% Voter Turnout in West Bengal Till 5 PM

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: West Bengal continues to demonstrate exceptional electoral engagement, with the state recording a massive voter turnout of 89.99% by 5:00 PM today.

29 April 2026 at 17:31 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Know All About Assembly Elections in 5 states

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Polling for the Assembly elections in Kerala, Assam and Puducherry was held in a single phase on April 9, while Tamil Nadu voted in one phase on April 23. In West Bengal, voting is being conducted in two phases, the first was held on April 23, and the second phase is underway on Wednesday.


 

29 April 2026 at 17:25 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Who Are the Key Candidates in Assam?

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Several prominent leaders are in the fray across 126 constituencies in Assam:

  • Himanta Biswa Sarma, the incumbent Chief Minister, is seeking re-election from the Jalukbari constituency, which he has represented for five consecutive terms since 2021.
  • Gaurav Gogoi, the state Congress president and son of former CM Tarun Gogoi, contested from Jorhat against sitting BJP MLA Hitendra Nath Goswami.
  • Akhil Gogoi, president of Raijor Dal, is also a key contender, contesting from the Sibsagar constituency.


 

29 April 2026 at 17:14 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: BJP Vs TMC Intense Battle in West Bengal

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: In West Bengal, the primary battle is between the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). While the Congress and the Left alliance are also contesting, analysts largely view the election as a direct fight between the TMC and the BJP.

29 April 2026 at 17:04 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: How Accurate Were the 2021 Exit Polls?

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: In 2021, exit polls correctly projected wins for the BJP in Assam and the DMK in Tamil Nadu. However, they significantly overestimated the BJP’s prospects in West Bengal, where the TMC went on to secure a decisive victory.


 

29 April 2026 at 16:56 IST

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Exit Poll Results to Be Announced After Final Phase of West Bengal Voting

Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE Updates: Exit poll results for the Assembly elections in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam, and the Union Territory of Puducherry will be announced on Wednesday (April 29), once the second and final phase of polling in West Bengal concludes.

Published By : Shruti Sneha

Published On: 29 April 2026 at 16:58 IST