Who Will Win On May 4? Arnab Goswami’s Sharpest Reading Of The Exit Poll Predictions

Bengal remained unpredictable, as seen by the divergent exit polls regarding the results of the assembly elections. Two pollsters anticipated that the TMC will decisively return to power for a fourth term in a row, while five exit polls predicted that the BJP would breach Mamata Banerjee's Bengal fort, which the party called its final frontier. The data point to a close race overall. The BJP received between 146 and 192 seats according to the five exit polls. However, according to two pollsters, Mamata Banerjee would return, giving the TMC 177–205 seats. To establish a government, parties need 148 seats. Exit poll results, however, should be interpreted cautiously. Pollsters forecast a photo finish between the TMC and BJP in the 2021 legislative elections.