LIVE-BLOG

Published 01:43 IST, June 2nd 2024

Exit Poll Results: Republic-PMARQ Predicts NDA's Win With 359 Seats, Matrize Projects 360

Republic TV's PMARQ and Matrize has predicted a decisive victory for the BJP-led NDA, projecting a third consecutive term for Prime Minister Narendra Modi. With significant gains in West Bengal and Telangana and a repeat of their 2019 performance, the BJP targets over 400 seats.

Reported by: Digital Desk
Edited by: Rajashree Seal
Follow: Google News Icon
  • share
Exit Poll Results: Republic-PMARQ Predicts NDA's Win With 359 Seats, Matrize Projects 360 | Image: Republic
Advertisement
  • Listen to this article
01:43 IST, June 2nd 2024

Under Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Leadership, We Are Doing What We Had Promised: MP CM Dr Mohan Yadav

Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Dr Mohan Yadav responded to the exit polls giving a thumping victory to the BJP-led NDA. He said, "Under the leadership of the illustrious Prime Minister, we initiated our campaign 'Fir Ek Baar Modi Sarkar'. The trends coming so far are very pleasing in themselves. However, the joy that comes once the results come is a different matter. Trends show all 29 seats of Madhya Pradesh to the BJP. Also, NDA's seats are going above 370 across the country. Under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, we are doing what we had promised."

01:37 IST, June 2nd 2024

This Will Be The Beginning Towards Making India World Power, Says Former-Chhattisgarh CM Raman Singh

On exit polls, former-Chhattisgarh Chief Minister Raman Singh said, "The kind of results that are being seen across the country, show that this country will move forward on the path of Sanatan, which is ancient as well as the most modern. The poor, labourers, farmers and women of the country have put their seal of approval on 10 years of development. The third term will be for the major development of the country. This will be the beginning towards making India the third power of the world."
 

Advertisement
1
01:32 IST, June 2nd 2024

Exit Polls Are Reflection That Nation Believes in PM Modi's Leadership, says BJP Spokesperson Ajay Alok

On exit polls, BJP spokesperson Ajay Alok stated that the exit polls are a reflection of the direction in which the election results are headed. As per exit polls, the BJP will cross 370 and NDA 400. The nation believes in the leadership of PM Narendra Modi ji.

22:36 IST, June 1st 2024

Cong and INDI Alliance Don't Understand What Democracy is About: Rajeev Chandrashekhar

"Congress and INDI alliance leaders have demonstrated in this election that they don't understand what democracy is about and what the people of India want," said Union Minister Rajeev Chandrasekhar while speaking to Republic Media Network Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami today.

Advertisement
22:33 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic-PMARQ and Matrize's Poll of Polls for Lok Sabha Elections 2024

Republic-PMARQ and Matrize's Poll of Polls for Lok Sabha Elections 2024:

  • BJP-led NDA is pojected to win 364 seats
  • INDI Alliance is set to get 139 seats 
  • Others to get 64 seats.
21:23 IST, June 1st 2024

Andhra Pradesh Exit Poll Predictions

Exit Poll Predictions for Andhra Pradesh's 25 seats as per Republic-Matrize

  • NDA projected to win in 19-22 seats
  • YSRCP to get 3-6 seats
     
Advertisement
21:18 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic-PMARQ, Matrize Exit Poll Results for Uttarakhand

Republic-Matrize Exit Poll Results for Uttarakhand 

  • NDA-02-04 seats
  • INDI-04-05 seats
21:15 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic-PMARQ Exit Poll Predictions for Jharkhand's 14 seats

Republic-PMARQ Exit Poll Predictions for Jharkhand's 14 seats

  • NDA-12 seats
  • INDI- 02 seats
Advertisement
21:12 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic-PMARQ Exit Poll Prediction for Kerala

Republic-PMARQ Exit Poll Prediction for Kerala's 20 seats

  • UDF 17 seats
  • LDF 3 seats
  • BJP 0 seats
21:04 IST, June 1st 2024

Exit Poll Predictions for Rajasthan's 25 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Predictions for Rajasthan
 

  • NDA- 23 seats
  • INDI- 2 seats

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Predictions for Rajasthan

NDA projected to win 22-24 seats

Congress 2 seats

Advertisement
20:48 IST, June 1st 2024

Chhattisgarh Exit Poll Predictions by Republic-PMARQ & Martize

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Chhattisgarh

BJP- 9 seats
Congress - 2 seats

Republic-Martize's Exit Poll Prediction for Chhattisgarh

BJP projected to win 9-11 seats
 

20:44 IST, June 1st 2024

Exit Poll Predictions for seats in North-eastern states

Republic-Martize's Exit Poll Predictions

Mizoram 

  • Congress- 1 seat
  • ZPM- 1 seat

Nagaland 

NDA - 1 seat

Arunachal Pradesh

BJP- 2 seats

Tripura

NDA- 2 seats

Manipur

INDI- 1 seat

REST-1 seat
 

Advertisement
1
20:36 IST, June 1st 2024

Exit Poll Predictions for Gujarat's 26 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll prediction for Gujarat

NDA- 26 seats

Republic-Martize's Exit Poll prediction for Gujarat
NDA 24-26 seats
INDI 00-02 seats

20:34 IST, June 1st 2024

Exit Poll Predictions for Haryana's 10 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Predictions

  • BJP- 8 seats 
  • INDI- 2 seats

 

Advertisement
20:50 IST, June 1st 2024

Annamalai on BJP's Predicted win on Exit Polls

BJP Tamil Nadu president K. Annamalai said, "Exit poll predictions nationally are as per trends and expectations. On June 4, it will be more than 359. Confident of BJP share breaching 25%"

 

20:19 IST, June 1st 2024

Assam's Exit Poll Prediction by Republic-PMARQ and Matrize

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Assam's 14 seats

  • NDA to get 10-12 seats
  • INDI to get 0-2 seats
  • Others-0-2

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Assam's 14 seats

  • NDA projected to win 11 out of 14 seats
  • INDI alliance to win 2 seats
  • OTHERS- 01

 

Advertisement
20:14 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic-PMARQ and Martize's Exit Poll Prediction for Himachal's 4 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Himachal's 4 seats

BJP is projected to win all 4 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Himachal's 4 seats

  • BJP-3-4 seats
  • Congress 0-1 seats
20:08 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic-PMARQ and Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Telangana

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Telangana

  • BJP projected to win in 6 seats
  • Congress to win 8 seats
  • BRS to get 2 seats
  • AIMIM to win 1 seat

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Telangana

  • BJP - 06-09 seats
  • Congress 05-08 seats
  • BRS- 00-03 seats
  • AIMIM-0-1 seat
Advertisement
20:01 IST, June 1st 2024

Exit Poll Predictions on BJP vs BJD in Odisha

 “BJP and BJD not going together in Odisha was a very strategised disengagement...”, explain S Gurumurthy, Editor of Thuglak Magazine 
 

19:54 IST, June 1st 2024

Exit Poll results for Madhya Pradesh's 29 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll results for Madhya Pradesh's 29 seats

  • BJP projected to win in 28 seats
  • Congress to get victory in 1 seat

The NDA, according to the Matrize exit poll results, is projected to secure 28 of the 29 seats in Madhya Pradesh, with the INDI alliance projected to secure a single seat and no seats being projected for other parties.
 

Advertisement
19:47 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic-PMARQ and Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Odisha's 21 seats

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Odisha seats

  • BJP projected to win in 9-12 seats
  • BJD set to win in 7-10 seats
  • Congress projected to win in 0-1 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Odisha seats

  • BJP- 14 seats
  • BJD- 8 seats
     
19:43 IST, June 1st 2024

Exit Poll Projections for Tamil Nadu

“Vote share is more important than the number of seats that BJP may get...”, said S Gurumurthy, Editor, Thuglak Magazine on P-MARQ and MATRIZE Exit Poll Projections for Tamil Nadu.
 

Advertisement
1
19:39 IST, June 1st 2024

Exit Poll Prediction for Bihar's 40 seats by Republic-PMARQ and Matrize

Matrize Exit Poll Results for Bihar

  • NDA: 32-37 seats
  • INDI: 2-7 seats
  • OTHERS: 0-1 seats

PMARQ Exit Poll Predictions for Bihar

  • NDA projected to win in 37 seats
  • INDI projected to win in 3 seats
19:33 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic-PMARQ and Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Tamil Nadu's 39 seats

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Tamil Nadu's 39 seats

  • NDA - 0-3 seats
  • INDI 35-38 seats
  • AIADMK-00-01

PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Tamil Nadu's 39 seats

  • NDA- 0 seats
  • INDI-38 seats
  • Rest-01 seats

 

Advertisement
21:26 IST, June 1st 2024

Exit Poll Predicts BJP's Win in West Bengal

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction fo West Bengal

  • BJP- 22 seats
  • TMC-20 seats


Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction fo West Bengal

  • BJP -21-25 seats
  • TMC- 16-20 seats
  • INDI- 0-1 seats

Poll of polls for West Bengal

  • NDA 22
  • INDI 01
  • TMC 19
19:39 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic-PMARQ & Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Punjab

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Predictions for Punjab's 13 seats

  • BJP-2
  • INDI-10
  • OTHERS-1

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Predictions for Punjab's 13 seats
 

  • BJP- 0-2 seats
  • AAP- 3-6 seats
  • Congress- 0-3 seats
  • SAD- 1-4 seats
  • OTHERS- 0-2 seats
     
Advertisement
19:21 IST, June 1st 2024

Exit Poll Prediction for Delhi's 7 Seats by Republic-PMARQ & Matrize

Republic Matrize Exit Poll Prediction for Delhi's 7 Lok Sabha Seats

  • BJP set to win in 5-7 seats
  • INDI projected to win in 0-2

Republic-PMARQ Exit Poll Prediction for Delhi's 7 Lok Sabha Seats

*BJP set to win all 7 seats

19:10 IST, June 1st 2024

Poll of Polls for Karnataka

  • NDA- 22 seats
  • INDI- 6 seats
Advertisement
19:09 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Karnataka seats

  • NDA to get 21 seats in Karnataka out of 28 seats
  • INDI is predicted to win in 7 seats
     
19:12 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Karnataka's 28 Seats

  • NDA to win in 22 seats
  • INDI to win in 6 seats
Advertisement
19:04 IST, June 1st 2024

Modi set to decimate INDI?

“36-50 year old voters has gone with BJP, polling at 45% for PM Modi,”reveals Republic Media Network's Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami
 

19:01 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic's Exit Poll Prediction for Maharashtra's 48 seats

Republic-PMARQ's Exit Poll Prediction for Maharashtra's 48 seats

NDA -29 seats

INDI-17

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for Maharashtra's 48 seats

  • NDA -30-36 setas
  • INDI-13-19 seats

Poll of polls for Maharashtra

  • NDA- 31 seats
  • INDI- 17 seats
Advertisement
1
18:56 IST, June 1st 2024

Matrize Exit Poll Prediction for 80 Lok Sabha seats in Uttar Pradesh

Republic-Matrize's Exit Poll Prediction for 80 Lok Sabha seats in Uttar Pradesh

  • NDA-69-74 seats
  • INDI-6-11 seats
  • BSP-0
  • Others-0

 

18:55 IST, June 1st 2024

PMARQ Exit Poll of Uttar Pradesh Lok Sabha Seats

Out of 80 seats, here's what Republic-PMARQ has predicted for Uttar Pradesh

  • NDA -69 seats
  • INDI - 11 seats
Advertisement
18:54 IST, June 1st 2024

Matrize Exit Poll 2024 National Projection

  • NDA to get 353-368 seats
  • INDI to get 118-133 seats
  • OTHERS to get 43-48 seats
18:48 IST, June 1st 2024

Republic TV's PMARQ Exit Poll National Projection

NDA- 359

INDI- 154

OTHERS- 30

Advertisement
18:25 IST, June 1st 2024

'Regional parties to pose a stronger challenge?'

“The regional parties will continue to pose a stronger challenge for the BJP than the Congress”, said Abhishek Sudhir, Advocate & Political Analyst during India's biggest Exit Poll coverage with Republic Media Network's Editor-in-Chief Arnab Goswami only on Republic TV.
 

18:27 IST, June 1st 2024

EC thanks stakeholders after voting concludes

The Election Commission of India has thanked all stakeholders involved in the polling, including voters, polling personnel, security forces, media and political parties, as voting concluded for the Lok Sabha elections held over seven phases.

The voting for the Lok Sabha elections began with the first phase on April 19, followed by subsequent phases on April 26, May 7, May 13, May 20, May 25, and June 1. The results will be declared on June 4.

 

Advertisement
18:18 IST, June 1st 2024

BJP chief JP Nadda exudes confidence on NDA's 400-paar

"Have full faith that voters will make BJP win more than 370 seats, NDA more than 400 in Lok Sabha polls under PM Modi's leadership. People have voted for capable, developed, self-reliant India, and to put aside appeasement, nepotism, corruption," said BJP chief JP Nadda

18:13 IST, June 1st 2024

15 Minutes to go for Republic TV's Biggest Exit Poll Predictions

Exit Poll results will give a picture of what the people across the country have decided for the next 5 years. Republic TV will provide double and highly authentic Exit Polls in collaboration with P-Marq and Matrize pollsters immediately after the last vote is cast in the polling booth. 

Advertisement
18:02 IST, June 1st 2024

India's biggest Exit Poll coverage is now LIVE

India's biggest Exit Poll coverage with Arnab is now #LIVE. 

Tune in here to WATCH - https://www.youtube.com/live/ERDLMFd-ECE


 

18:00 IST, June 1st 2024

Country to witness an earthquake: Akhilesh Yadav

After INDI leaders meet on Friday evening, Samajwadi Party chief Akhilesh Yadav said, “INDI will get 295 seats, BJP jaane wali hai. The country is going to witness an earthquake.”

Advertisement
1
17:57 IST, June 1st 2024

Arvind Kejriwal after INDI leaders meet

"INDI alliance is getting 295+ seats and the BJP will win around 220 seats and the NDA alliance will 235 seats. INDI alliance will form a strong and stable government on its own. (The PM face) will be decided on June 4..."

17:52 IST, June 1st 2024

UP Exit Poll Results: Double Engine vs INDI

Uttar Pradesh, with its 80 Lok Sabha seats, is crucial in shaping India's Parliament. Out of the 80 constituencies in Uttar Pradesh, 63 seats are unreserved while 17 are reserved for SC candidates. For LIVE updates on UP Exit Poll Results, click here…

Advertisement
17:21 IST, June 1st 2024

Congress Chief speaks on Exit Poll results

Congress National President Mallikarjun Kharge said, "INDIA Alliance will win at least 295 seats."

17:07 IST, June 1st 2024

INDI to take part in Exit Poll debates

After INDI alliance leaders meet in Delhi, they have decided that all the INDI bloc parties will participate in the exit poll debates on television today evening.

Advertisement
16:58 IST, June 1st 2024

Exit Poll methodology

The Exit Poll survey was conducted in all districts across all the states of India. The methodology is random stratified sampling using predominantly three techniques Field surveys, CATI, and IDIs with key people in districts and Lok Sabha Constituencies. We then use a probabilistic model to determine the number of seats a party is going to win from the estimated vote share.

The survey results have been adjusted in proportion to reflect the state and district population across age - groups, religion, gender and caste.

The questions in the survey were designed to reflect the current scenario electorally and politically and to gauge the critical factors that might play a role in the voting preference of a voter. There is error margin of 3%.

15:52 IST, June 1st 2024

How are exit polls calculated?

Exit polls are calculated using a combination of sampling methods and statistical analysis by various agencies. The process involves several key steps:

Sampling: Pollsters select a diverse group of voters from different regions to represent the entire population, ensuring they include individuals across various demographics.

Questioning: The chosen voters are asked about their vote and other basic information, such as age and residence.

Data Collection: The responses are gathered and recorded systematically.

Weighting: The collected data is adjusted to ensure it accurately reflects the population. For instance, if there is an underrepresentation of young voters, their responses might be given more weight to balance the sample.

Analysis: Experts analyze the data to make predictions about the election outcomes based on the voters' responses.

Margin of Error: The exit polls also calculate the margin of error to indicate the level of certainty or uncertainty in their predictions.

These predictions are then shared with the public.

Advertisement
15:49 IST, June 1st 2024

How accurate was Exit Poll Result in 2014?

The 2014 elections witnessed a historic victory for the BJP-led NDA, albeit with a notable discrepancy between exit poll predictions and actual outcomes. While exit polls correctly indicated the NDA's ascent to power, they underestimated the magnitude of its victory. On average, exit polls predicted the NDA to secure 283 seats, with the UPA trailing at 105 seats. However, the actual results saw the NDA triumphant with 336 seats, including 282 seats for the BJP, while the UPA secured only 60 seats, with Congress at 44.

16:42 IST, June 1st 2024

How and When to Watch Republic TV's Exit Poll Coverage?

The much-awaited Exit Polls for Lok Sabha Election 2024 will be broadcast on Republic TV and live-streamed on Republic digital platforms from 4 PM onwards on June 1. The digital users can tune in to Republic TV's YouTube channel to watch the poll of polls.

Republic TV LIVE TV: https://www.republicworld.com/livetv/
Republic World Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/live/ERDLMFd-ECE
 

 

 

Advertisement
15:51 IST, June 1st 2024

How accurate were Exit Poll predictions in 2019?

In the 2019 elections, exit polls painted a picture of the anticipated electoral landscape, with various agencies offering their projections. On average, these exit polls predicted the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) to secure around 306 seats, with the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) trailing at approximately 120 seats. However, the actual results surpassed these predictions, with the NDA clinching a commanding 352 seats, including 303 seats for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and the UPA securing 93 seats, with Congress at 52.
 

15:26 IST, June 1st 2024

What Prashant Kishor predicted?

Just hours before the release of the Exit Poll 2024 results, election strategist Prashant Kishor reiterated his prediction regarding the performance of the BJP-led NDA in the Lok Sabha elections. He forecasted that the BJP could secure 303 seats, the same number they won in the 2019 Lok Sabha polls, or possibly slightly more.

 

Advertisement
1
15:26 IST, June 1st 2024

'Unequivocal confirmation' of conceding elections: Nadda on Cong’s decision to skip exit poll debates

BJP president J P Nadda claimed that the Congress' decision to not participate in exit poll debates amounts to an "unequivocal confirmation" that the opposition party has conceded the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. "Their hypocrisy is not lost on anyone. Let no one in Phase 7 waste their vote on them," he said.
 

15:23 IST, June 1st 2024

Congress not to participate in exit poll debates

The Congress has decided not to participate in any Lok Sabha exit poll debates on the television channels and said it does not want to indulge in speculation and slugfest for TRP. Congress spoksperson Pawan Khera said the voters have cast their votes and their verdict has been secured.

"The results will be out on 4th June. Prior to that, we do not see any reason to indulge in speculation and slugfest for TRP. The Indian National Congress will not participate in the debates on Exit Polls. The purpose of any debate should be to inform the people. We will happily partake in debates from 4th June onwards," Khera said in a statement.

 

Advertisement
14:15 IST, June 1st 2024

When will Exit polls be released?

Exit polls will be released starting at 6:30 pm after voting process concludes. Media houses will publish exit polls only once voting ends. The Election Commission had imposed a ban on exit polls from on April 19 until 6:30 PM on June 1, 2024.

 

 


 

14:13 IST, June 1st 2024

What is an Exit Poll?

An exit poll is a survey conducted after voting ends, aiming to predict the nation's mood and estimate how many seats each political party is likely to win. It is to be noted that exit polls are not the same as official election results. The official results of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections will be announced by the Election Commission of India on June 4.

 

 


 

Advertisement

14:18 IST, June 1st 2024