Politics

National Approval Ratings: Congress Or BJP? Here Are The Projections For How The Lok Sabha 2019 Elections May Pan Out

Written By Aishwaria Sonavane | Mumbai | Published:

Hack:

  • The seat share: UPA- 165, NDA-280 and Others- 98
  • The vote share: UPA- 32.2%, NDA- 37.6%, Others- 30.2%

The political landscape has witnessed a significant transition ever since the December edition of National Approval Ratings, majorly in terms of alliances and new entrants in the political sphere. With an effort to form 'United Fronts' which appears to be a contest between those who were present at TMC supremo Mamata Banerjee's mega-rally in Kolkata, and those, like Telangana CM KCR, who weren't. Congress party now bringing in another Gandhi-Nehru scion, Priyanka Gandhi into the political picture after getting snubbed by the SP-BSP alliance of Akhilesh Yadav and Mayawati in Uttar Pradesh. While the pro-mandir organisations like RSS and VHP persistently pushing BJP to bring in an Ordinance on the Ram Mandir issue despite the Supreme Court also currently hearing the case.

National Approval Ratings published by Republic TV and CVoter have captured the mood of the nation, answering the question: What would happen if elections were held today?

READ| Five Takeaways From The National Approval Ratings

Seat-Share: 

While in the Parliamentary elections of 2014, BJP had secured a majority of seat share on its own winning 282 seats and NDA winning a total of 336 seats. According to the January National Approval Ratings, the BJP-led NDA is predicted to go down by 103 seats, by securing 233 seats. This down-slide is also reflected because their ally in Maharashtra, Shiv Sena is predicted to come down to 4 seats, compared to the 18 seats won in 2014.

On the other hand, Congress lost by securing merely 44 seats and 60 UPA seats in the Lok Sabha 2014 elections. In this edition, the Congress-led UPA is projected to gain over a 100 seats compared to their substandard performance in 2014, being projected to win 167 seats. Whereas the Other parties are cumulatively projected to win 143 seats, predominately counting on the Mahagatbandhan of Akhilesh Yadav's SP, Mayawati's BSP and RLD, that is predicted to secure 51 seats in Uttar Pradesh. 

Vote Share:

As far as the vote share is concerned there is a difference of 5.4% between NDA and UPA. NDA is leading with 37.6% of vote share, followed by UPA at 32.2% and Others at 30.2%

The January and December editions of National Approval Ratings have a wafer-thin difference between them. In December, NDA was projected to secure 37.7% of vote share and Congress-led UPA was at 32.8%

Here are the National Approval Ratings for each state in order of the number of seats represented in the Lok Sabha:

Uttar Pradesh

Maharashtra

West Bengal

Bihar

Tamil Nadu

Madhya Pradesh

Karnataka

Gujarat

Andhra Pradesh

Rajasthan

Odisha

Kerala

Telangana

Assam

Jharkhand

Punjab

Chhattisgarh

Haryana

Delhi

Jammu and Kashmir

Uttarakhand

Himachal Pradesh

Arunachal Pradesh

Goa

Manipur

Meghalaya

Tripura

Andaman and Nicobar Islands

Lakshadweep

Mizoram

Chandigarh

Nagaland

Dadra and Nagar Haveli

Puducherry  

READ| National Approval Ratings: BJP Or Congress? Here's The National Picture On Who Might Win The 2019 Lok Sabha Elections

 

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